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Foreign exchange market Essay Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, often targeting a rate of interest for the purpose of promoting economic growth and stability. The official goals usually include relatively stable prices and low unemployment. Monetary theory provides insight into how to craft optimal monetary policy. It is referred to as either being expansionary or contractionary, where an expansionary policy increases the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly than usual, and contractionary policy expands the money supply more slowly than usual or even shrinks it. Expansionary policy is traditionally used to try to combat unemployment in a recession by loweringinterest rates in the hope that easy credit will entice businesses into expanding. Contractionary policy is intended to slow inflation in order to avoid the resulting distortions and deterioration of asset values. Monetary policy, to a great extent, is the management of expectations. Monetary policy rests on the relationship between the rates of interest in an economy, that is, the price at which money can be borrowed, and the total supply of money. Monetary policy uses a variety of tools to control one or both of these, to influence outcomes like economic growth, inflation, exchange rates with other currencies and unemployment. Where currency is under a monopoly of issuance, or where there is a regulated system of issuing currency through banks which are tied to a central bank, the monetary authority has the ability to alter the money supply and thus influence the interest rate (to achieve policy goals). The beginning of monetary policy as such comes from the late 19th century, where it was used to maintain the gold standard. General Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls (i) the supply of money, (ii) availability of money, and (iii) cost of money or rate of interest to attain a set of objectives oriented towards the growth and stability of the economy. Monetary theory provides insight into how to craft optimal monetary policy. Monetary policy rests on the relationship between the rates of interest in an economy, that is the price at which money can be borrowed, and the total supply of money. Monetary policy uses a variety of tools to control one or both of these, to influence outcomes like economic growth, inflation, exchange rates with other currencies and unemployment. Where currency is under a monopoly of issuance, or where there is a regulated system of issuing currency through banks which are tied to a central bank, the monetary authority has the ability to alter the money supply and thus influence the interest rate (to achieve policy goals). It is important for policymakers to make credible announcements. If private agents (consumers and firms) believe that policymakers are committed to lowering inflation, they will anticipate future prices to be lower than otherwise (how those expectations are formed is an entirely different matter; compare for instance rational expectations with adaptive expectations). If an employee expects prices to be high in the future, he or she will draw up a wage contract with a high wage to match these prices. Hence, the expectation of lower wages is reflected in wage-setting behavior between employees and employers (lower wages since prices are expected to be lower) and since wages are in fact lower there is no demand pull inflation because employees are receiving a smaller wage and there is no cost push inflation because employers are paying out less in wages. 2. What is a Central Bank? A central bank, reserve bank, or monetary authority is an institution that manages a states currency, money supply, and interest rates. Central banks also usually oversee the commercial banking system of their respective countries. In contrast to a commercial bank, a central bank possesses a monopoly on increasing the amount of money in the nation, and usually also prints the national currency, which usually serves as the nations legal tender. Examples include the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve of the United States. The primary function of a central bank is to manage the nations money supply (monetary policy), through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. Central banks usually also have supervisory powers, intended to prevent bank runs and to reduce the risk that commercial banks and other financial institutions engage in reckless or fraudulent behavior. Central banks in most developed nations are institutionally designed to be independent from political interference. THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINAS The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (English: Central Bank of the Philippines; Spanish: Banco Central de Filipinas; commonly abbreviated as BSP in both Filipino and English), is the central bank of the Philippines. It was established on July 3, 1993, pursuant to the provision of Republic Act 7653 or the New Central Bank Act of 1993. History In 1900, the First Philippine Commission passed Act No. 52, which placed all banks under the Bureau of the Treasury and authorizing the Insular Treasurer to supervise and examine banks and all banking activity. In 1929, the Department of Finance, through the Bureau of Banking, took over bank supervision. By 1933, a group of Filipinos had conceptualized a central bank for the Philippine Islands. It came up with the rudiments of a bill for the establishment of a central bank after a careful study of the economic provisions of the Hare–Hawes–Cutting Act, which would grant Philippine independence after 12 years, but reserving military and naval bases for the United States and imposing tariffs and quotas on Philippine exports. However, the Hare–Hawes–Cutting Act would be rejected by the Senate of the Philippines at the urging of Manuel L. Quezon. This Senate then advocated a new bill that won President Franklin D. Roosevelts support; this would be the Tydings–McDuffie Act, which would grant Philippine independence on July 4, 1946. During the Commonwealth Period, discussions continued regarding the idea of a Philippine central bank that would promote price stability and economic growth. The countrys monetary system then was administered by the Department of Finance and the National Treasury, and the Philippine peso was on the exchange standard using the United States dollar, which was backed by 100 percent gold reserve, as the standard currency. As required by the Tydings–McDuffie Act, the National Assembly of the Philippines in 1939 passed a law establishing a central bank. As it was a monetary law, it required the approval of the President of the United States; Franklin D. Roosevelt did not give his. A second law was passed in 1944 under the Japanese-controlledSecond Republic, but the arrival of American liberation forces in 1945 aborted its implementation. Shortly after President Manuel Roxas assumed office in 1946, he instructed then-Finance Secretary Miguel Cuaderno, Sr. to draw up a charter for a central bank. The establishment of a monetary authority became imperative a year later as a result of the findings of the Joint Philippine-American Finance Commission chaired by Cuaderno. The Commission, which studied Philippine financial, monetary, and fiscal problems in 1947, recommended a shift from the dollar exchange standard to a managed currency system. A central bank was necessary to implement the proposed shift to the new system. Roxas then created the Central Bank Council to prepare the charter of a proposed monetary authority. It was submitted to Congress in February 1948. By June of the same year, the newly proclaimed President Elpidio Quirino, who succeeded President Roxas, affixed his signature on Republic Act (RA) No. 265, the Central Bank Act of 1948.On January 3, 1949, the Central Bank of the Philippines was formally inaugurated with Miguel Cuaderno, Sr. as the first governor. The main duties and responsibilities of the Central Bank were to promote economic development and maintain internal and external monetary stability. 3. What are the Types of Monetary Policy? In practice, to implement any type of monetary policy the main tool used is modifying the amount of base money in circulation. The monetary authority does this by buying or selling financial assets (usually government obligations). These open market operations change either the amount of money or its liquidity (if less liquid forms of money are bought or sold). The multiplier effect of fractional reserve banking amplifies the effects of these actions. Constant market transactions by the monetary authority modify the supply of currency and this impacts other market variables such as short term interest rates and the exchange rate. The distinction between the various types of monetary policy lies primarily with the set of instruments and target variables that are used by the monetary authority to achieve their goals. Monetary Policy: Target Market Variable: Long Term Objective: Inflation Targeting Interest rate on overnight debt A given rate of change in the CPI Price Level Targeting Interest rate on overnight debt A specific CPI number Monetary Aggregates The growth in money supply A given rate of change in the CPI Fixed Exchange Rate The spot price of the currency The spot price of the currency Gold Standard The spot price of gold Low inflation as measured by the gold price Mixed Policy Usually interest rates Usually unemployment + CPI change The different types of policy are also called monetary regimes, in parallel to exchange rate regimes. A fixed exchange rate is also an exchange rate regime; The Gold standard results in a relatively fixed regime towards the currency of other countries on the gold standard and a floating regime towards those that are not. Targeting inflation, the price level or other monetary aggregates implies floating exchange rate unless the management of the relevant foreign currencies is tracking exactly the same variables. In economics, an expansionary fiscal policy includes higher spending and tax cuts, that encourage economic growth. In turn, an expansionary monetary policy is one that seeks to increase the size of the money supply. Conversely, contractionary monetary policy seeks to reduce the size of the money supply. In most nations, monetary policy is controlled by either a central bank or a finance ministry. In most nations, monetary policy is controlled by either a central bank or a finance ministry. Neoclassical and Keynesian economics significantly differ on the effects and effectiveness of monetary policy on influencing the real economy; there is no clear consensus on how monetary policy affects real economic variables (aggregate output or income, employment). Both economic schools accept that monetary policy affects monetary variables (price levels, interest rates). Inflation targeting Under this policy approach the target is to keep inflation, under a particular definition such as Consumer Price Index, within a desired range. The inflation target is achieved through periodic adjustments to the Central Bank interest rate target. The interest rate used is generally the interbank rate at which banks lend to each other overnight for cash flow purposes. Depending on the country this particular interest rate might be called the cash rate or something similar. The interest rate target is maintained for a specific duration using open market operations. Typically the duration that the interest rate target is kept constant will vary between months and years. This interest rate target is usually reviewed on a monthly or quarterly basis by a policy committee. Changes to the interest rate target are made in response to various market indicators in an attempt to forecast economic trends and in so doing keep the market on track towards achieving the defined inflation target. For example, one simple method of inflation targeting called the Taylor rule adjusts the interest rate in response to changes in the inflation rate and the output gap. The rule was proposed  by John B. Taylor of Stanford University. The inflation targeting approach to monetary policy approach was pioneered in New Zealand. It has been used inAustralia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, the Czech Republic, Hungary, New Zealand, Norway, Iceland, India,Philippines, Poland, Sweden, South Africa, Turkey, and the United Kingdom. Price level targeting Price level targeting is a monetary policy that is similar to inflation targeting except that CPI growth in one year over or under the long term price level target is offset in subsequent years such that a targeted price-level is reached over time, e.g. five years, giving more certainty about future price increases to consumers. Under inflation targeting what happened in the immediate past years is not taken into account or adjusted for in the current and future years. Uncertainty in price levels can create uncertainty around price and wage setting activity for firms and workers, and undermines any information that can be gained from relative prices, as it is more difficult for firms to determine if a change in the price of a good or service is because of inflation or other factors, such as an increase in the efficiency of factors of production, if inflation is high and volatile. An increase in inflation also leads to a decrease in the demand for money, as it reduces the incentive to hold money and increases transaction and shoe leather costs. Monetary aggregates In the 1980s, several countries used an approach based on a constant growth in the money supply. This approach was refined to include different classes of money and credit (M0, M1 etc.). In the USA this approach to monetary policy was discontinued with the selection of Alan Greenspan as Fed Chairman. This approach is also sometimes called monetarism. While most monetary policy focuses on a price signal of one form or another, this approach is focused on monetary quantities. As these quantities could have a role on the economy and business cycles depending on the households risk aversion level, money is sometimes explicitly added in the central banks reaction function. Fixed exchange rate This policy is based on maintaining a fixed exchange rate with a foreign currency. There are varying degrees of fixed exchange rates, which can be ranked in relation to how rigid the fixed exchange rate is with the anchor nation. Under a system of fiat fixed rates, the local government or monetary authority declares a fixed exchange rate but does not actively buy or sell currency to maintain the rate. Instead, the rate is enforced by non-convertibility measures (e.g. capital controls, import/export licenses, etc.). In this case there is a black market exchange rate where the currency trades at its market/unofficial rate. Under a system of fixed-convertibility, currency is bought and sold by the central bank or monetary authority on a daily basis to achieve the target exchange rate. This target rate may be a fixed level or a fixed band within which the exchange rate may fluctuate until the monetary authority intervenes to buy or sell as necessary to maintain the exchange rate within the band. (In this case, the fixed exchange rate with a fixed level can be seen as a special case of the fixed exchange rate with bands where the bands are set to zero.) Under a system of fixed exchange rates maintained by a currency board every unit of local currency must be backed by a unit of foreign currency (correcting for the exchange rate). This ensures that the local monetary base does not inflate without being backed by hard currency and eliminates any worries about a run on the local currency by those wishing to convert the local currency to the hard (anchor) currency. Under dollarization, foreign currency (usually the US dollar, hence the term dollarization) is used freely as the medium of exchange either exclusively or in parallel with local currency. This outcome can come about because the local population has lost all faith in the local currency, or it may also be a policy of the government (usually to rein in inflation and import credible monetary policy). These policies often abdicate monetary policy to the foreign monetary authority or government as monetary policy in the pegging nation must align with monetary policy in the anchor nation to maintain the exchange rate. The degree to which local monetary policy becomes dependent on the anchor nation depends on factors such as capital mobility, openness, credit channels and other economic factors. Gold standard The gold standard is a system under which the price of the national currency is measured in units of gold bars and is kept constant by the governments promise to buy or sell gold at a fixed price in terms of the base currency. The gold standard might be regarded as a special case of fixed exchange rate policy, or as a special type of commodity price level targeting. Today this type of monetary policy is no longer used by any country, although the gold standard was widely used across the world between the mid-19th century through 1971. Its major advantages were simplicity and transparency. The gold standard was abandoned during the Great Depression, as countries sought to reinvigorate their economies by increasing their money supply. The Bretton Woods system, which was a modified gold standard, replaced it in the aftermath of World War II. However, this system too broke down during the Nixon shock of 1971. The gold standard induces deflation, as the economy usually grows faster than the supply of gold. When an economy grows faster than its money supply, the same amount of money is used to execute a larger number of transactions. The only way to make this possible is to lower the nominal cost of each transaction, which means that prices of goods and services fall, and each unit of money increases in value. Absent precautionary measures, deflation would tend to increase the ratio of the real value of nominal debts to physical assets over time. For example, during deflation, nominal debt and the monthly nominal cost of a fixed-rate home mortgage stays the same, even while the dollar value of the house falls, and the value of the dollars required to pay the mortgage goes up. Economists generally consider such deflation to be a major disadvantage of the gold standard. Unsustainable (i.e. excessive) deflation can cause problems during recessions and crisis lengthening the amount of time an economy spends in recession. William Jennings Bryan rose to national prominence when he built his historic (though unsuccessful) 1896 presidential campaign around the argument that deflation caused by the gold standard made it harder for everyday citizens to start new businesses, expand their farms, or build new homes. 4. What are the Monetary Policy tools? Monetary policy uses three main tactical approaches to maintain monetary stability: The first tactic manages the money supply. This mainly involves buying government bonds (expanding the money supply) or selling them (contracting the money supply). In the Federal Reserve System, these are known as open market operations, because the central bank buys and sells government bonds in public markets. Most of the government bonds bought and sold through open market operations are short-term government bondsbought and sold from Federal Reserve System member banks and from large financial institutions. When the central bank disburses or collects payment for these bonds, it alters the amount of money in the economy while simultaneously affecting the price (and thereby the yield) of short-term government bonds. The change in the amount of money in the economy in turn affects interbank interest rates. The second tactic manages money demand. Demand for money, like demand for most things, is sensitive to price. For money, the price is the interest rates charged to borrowers. Setting banking-system lending or interest rates (such as the US overnight bank lending rate, the federal funds discount Rate, and the London Interbank Offer Rate, or Libor) in order to manage money demand is a major tool used by central banks. Ordinarily, a central bank conducts monetary policy by raising or lowering its interest rate target for the interbank interest rate. If the nominal interest rate is at or very near zero, the central bank cannot lower it further. Such a situation, called a liquidity trap, can occur, for example, during deflation or when inflation is very low. The third tactic involves managing risk within the banking system. Banking systems use fractional reserve banking to encourage the use of money for investment and expanding economic activity. Banks must keep banking reserves on hand to handle actual cash needs, but they can lend an amount equal to several times their actual reserves. The money lent out by banks increases the money supply, and too much money (whether lent or printed) will lead to inflation. Central banks manage systemic risks by maintaining a balance between expansionary economic activity through bank lending and control of inflation through reserve requirements. 5. What is Fiscal Policy? Fiscal policy is a type of economical intervention where the government injects its policies into an economy in order to either expand the economy’s growth or to contract it. By changing the levels of spending and taxation, a government can directly or indirectly affect the aggregate demand, which is the total amount of goods and services in an economy. One thing to remember concerning fiscal policy is that a recession is generally defined as a time period of at least two quarters of consecutive reduction in growth. It may take time to even recognize whether or not there is a recession. With fiscal policy, there will be certain levels of lag time in which conditions will deteriorate before being recognized. At the same time, fiscal policy takes time to implement due to legislative and administrative processes, and those same policies will take time to show results after implementation. Consumers can also react to these policies positively or negatively. Most consumers would have a positive reaction per say to a policy that lowers taxes, while some will have an issue with a government spending more which will increase the burden of debt on nations citizens. Nevertheless, fiscal policy is a type of intervention that can help to control the direction of an economy. Deciding if and when it should be used will certainly continue to be debated. In economics and political science, fiscal policy is the use of government revenue collection (taxation) and expenditure (spending) to influence the economy. The two main instruments of fiscal policy are changes in the level and composition of taxation and government spending in various sectors. These changes can affect the following macroeconomic variables in an economy: Aggregate demand and the level of economic activity; The distribution of income; The pattern of resource allocation within the sector and relative to the private sector. Fiscal policy refers to the use of the government budget to influence economic activity. 6. What are the Types of Fiscal Policy? Expansionary Fiscal Policy When an economy is in a recession, expansionary fiscal policy is in order. Typically this type of fiscal policy results in increased government spending and/or lower taxes. A recession results in a recessionary gap – meaning that aggregate demand (ie, GDP) is at a level lower than it would be in a full employment situation. In order to close this gap, a government will typically increase their spending which will directly increase the aggregate demand curve (since government spending creates demand for goods and services). At the same time, the government may choose to cut taxes, which will indirectly affect the aggregate demand curve by allowing for consumers to have more money at their disposal to consume and invest. The actions of this expansionary fiscal policy would result in a shift of the aggregate demand curve to the right, which would result closing the recessionary gap and helping an economy grow. Contractionary Fiscal Policy Contractionary fiscal policy is essentially the opposite of expansionary fiscal policy. When an economy is in a state where growth is at a rate that is getting out of control (causing inflation and asset bubbles), contractionary fiscal policy can be used to rein it in to a more sustainable level. If an economy is growing too fast or for example, if unemployment is too low, an inflationary gap will form. In order to eliminate this inflationary gap a government may reduce government spending and increase taxes. A decrease in spending by the government will directly decrease aggregate demand curve by reducing government demand for goods and services. Increases in tax levels will also slow growth, as consumers will have less money to consume and invest, thereby indirectly reducing the aggregate demand curve. Considerations Economic fluctuations independent of policy actions by government often affect the level of tax revenues, forcing elected officials to alter fiscal policy. For example, economic recessions reduce output and employment, resulting in reduced revenue for government coffers. This often forces policy makers to consider contractionary measures, such as increasing revenues by raising taxes or cutting government spending. 7. What are the Components/Instruments of Fiscal Policy? Taxation Taxation is one of the two primary instruments of fiscal policy. When the government increases or decreases taxes, it increases or decreases the amount of money consumers have to spend which can have a significant impact on the direction of the overall economy. A decrease in taxation tends to put more money into the hands of consumers, which can lead to increased spending. Increased spending tends to lead to higher revenues for businesses, which can allow them to expand and hire more workers. Cutting taxes is a common fiscal policy measure to encourage economic growth. Government Spending Government spending is the other main instrument of fiscal policy. The expenditures of the government can promote economic activity and create jobs. For example, if the government funds a project to build a high-speed train across the country, the funds that go into the project could go toward hiring workers which could reduce unemployment and inject money into the economy. Higher levels of government spending tend to promote employment and economic growth. Considerations The government uses fiscal policy to promote economic growth, low unemployment and to stabilize the economy. During period of low economic growth, the government tends to cut taxes and may increase spending in an attempt to spark growth. During periods of high economic growth, the government may increase taxes and cut spending to ensure that the economy doesnt grow too quickly which can result in undesirable effects like high inflation. 8. What are the Stances of Fiscal Policy? The three main stances of fiscal policy are: Neutral fiscal policy is usually undertaken when an economy is in equilibrium. Government spending is fully funded by tax revenue and overall the budget outcome has a neutral effect on the level of economic activity. Expansionary fiscal policy involves government spending exceeding tax revenue, and is usually undertaken during recessions. Contractionary fiscal policy occurs when government spending is lower than tax revenue, and is usually undertaken to pay down government debt. However, these definitions can be misleading because, even with no changes in spending or tax laws at all, cyclic fluctuations of the economy cause cyclic fluctuations of tax revenues and of some types of government spending, altering the deficit situation; these are not considered to be policy changes. Therefore, for purposes of the above definitions, government spending and tax revenue are normally replaced by cyclically adjusted government spending and cyclically adjusted tax revenue. Thus, for example, a government budget that is balanced over the course of the business cycle is considered to represent a neutral fiscal policy stance. 1. Methods of funding Governments spend money on a wide variety of things, from the military and police to services like education and healthcare, as well as transfer payments such as welfare benefits. This expenditure can be funded in a number of different ways: Taxation Seignior age, the benefit from printing money Borrowing money from the population or from abroad Consumption of fiscal reserves Sale of fixed assets (e.g., land) 2. Borrowing A fiscal deficit is often funded by issuing bonds, like treasury bills or consols and gilt-edged securities. These pay interest, either for a fixed period or indefinitely. If the interest and capital requirements are too large, a nation may default on its debts, usually to foreign creditors. Public debt or borrowing refers to the government borrowing from the public. 3. Consuming prior surpluses A fiscal surplus is often saved for future use, and may be invested in either local currency or any financial instrument that may be traded later once resources are needed; notice, additional debt is not needed. For this to happen, the marginal propensity to save needs to be strictly positive. Economic effects of fiscal policy Governments use fiscal policy to influence the level of aggregate demand in the economy, in an effort to achieve economic objectives of price stability, full employment, and economic growth. Keynesian economics suggests that increasing government spending and decreasing tax rates are the best ways to stimulate aggregate demand, and decreasing spending increasing taxes after the economic boom begins. Keynesians argue this method be used in times of recession or low economic activity as an essential tool for building the framework for strong economic growth and working towards full employment. In theory, the resulting deficits would be paid for by an expanded economy during the boom that would follow; this was the reasoning behind the New Deal. Governments can use a budget surplus to do two things: to slow the pace of strong economic growth, and to stabilize prices when inflation is too high. Keynesian theory posits that removing spending from the economy will reduce levels of aggregate demand and contract the economy, thus stabilizing prices. But economists still debate the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus. The argument mostly centers on crowding out: whether government borrowing leads to higher interest rates that may offset the simulative impact of spending. When the government runs a budget deficit, funds will need to come from public borrowing (the issue of government bonds), overseas borrowing, or monetizing the debt. When governments fund a deficit with the issuing of government bonds, interest rates can increase across the market, because government borrowing creates higher demand for credit in the financial markets. This causes a lower aggregate demand for goods and services, contrary to the objective of a fiscal stimulus. Neoclassical economists generally emphasize crowding out while Keynesians argue that fiscal policy can still be effective especially in a liquidity trap where, they argue, crowding out is minimal. 9. What are the Functions of Fiscal Policy? Allocation The first major function of fiscal policy is to determine exactly how funds will be allocated. This is closely related to the issues of taxation and spending, because the allocation of funds depends upon the collection of taxes and the government using that revenue for specific purposes. The national budget determines how funds are allocated. This means that a specific amount of funds is set aside for purposes specifically laid out by the government. This has a direct economic impact on the country. Distribution Whereas allocation determines how much will be set aside and for what purpose, the distribution function of fiscal policy is to determine more specifically how those funds will be distributed throughout each segment of the economy. For instance, the government might allocate $1 billion toward social welfare programs, but $100 million could be distributed to food stamp programs, while another $250 million is distributed among low-cost housing authority agencies. Distribution provides the specific explanation of what allocation was intended for in the first place. Stabilization Stabilization is another important function of fiscal policy in that the purpose of budgeting is to provide stable economic growth. Without some restraints on spending, the economic growth of the nation could become unstable, resulting in periods of unrestrained growth and contraction. While many might frown upon governmental restraint of growth, the stock market crash of 1929 made it clear that unfettered growth could have serious consequences. The cyclical nature of the market means that unrestrained growth cannot continue for an indefinite period. When growth periods end, they are followed by contraction in the form of recessions or prolonged recessions known as depressions. Fiscal policy is designed to anticipate and mitigate the effects of such economic lulls. Development The fourth major function of fiscal policy is that of development. Development seems to indicate economic growth, and that is, in fact, its overall purpose. However, fiscal policy is far more complicated than determining how much the government will tax citizens one year and then determining how that money will be spent. True economic growth occurs when various projects are financed and carried out using borrowed funds. This stems from the the belief that the private sector cannot grow the economy by itself. Instead, some government input and influence are needed. Borrowing funds for this economic growth is one way in which the government brings about development. This economic model developed by John Maynard Keynes has been adopted in various forms since the World War II era. 10. What is the Fiscal Policy in the Philippines? Fiscal policy refers to the measures employed by governments to stabilize the economy, specifically by manipulating the levels and allocations of taxes and government expenditures. Fiscal measures are frequently used in tandem with monetary policy to achieve certain goals. In the Philippines, this is characterized by continuous and increasing levels of debt and budget deficits, though there have been improvements in the last few years. The Philippine government’s main sources of revenue are taxes, with some non-tax revenue also being collected. To finance fiscal deficit and debt, the Philippines rely on both domestic and external sources. Fiscal policy during the Marcos administration was primarily focused on indirect tax collection and on government spending on economic services and infrastructure development. The administration inherited a large fiscal deficit from the previous administration, but managed to reduce fiscal imbalance and improve tax collection through the introduction of the 1986 Tax Reform Program and the value added tax. The Ramos experienced budget surpluses due to substantial gains from the massive sale of government assets and strong foreign investment in its early years. However, the implementation of the 1997 Comprehensive Tax Reform Program and the onset of the Asian financial crisis resulted to a deteriorating fiscal position in the succeeding years and administrations. The Estrada administration faced a large fiscal deficit due to the decrease in tax effort and the repayment of the Ramos administration’s debt to contractors and suppliers. During the Arroyo administration, the Expanded Value Added Tax Law was enacted, national debt-to-GDP ratio peaked, and under spending on public infrastructure and other capital expenditures was observed. History of Philippine Fiscal Policy Marcos Administration (1981-1985) The tax system under the Marcos administration was generally regressive as it was heavily dependent on indirect. Indirect taxes and international trade taxes accounted for about 35% of total tax revenue, while direct taxes only accounted for 25%. Government expenditure for economic services peaked during this period, focusing mainly on infrastructure development, with about 33% of the budget spent on capital outlays. In response to the higher global interest rates and to the depreciation of the peso, the government became increasingly reliant on domestic financing to finance fiscal deficit. The government also started liberalizing tariff policy during this period by enacting the initial Tariff Reform Program, which narrowed the tariff structure from a range of 100%-0% to 50%-10%, and the Import Liberalization Program, which aimed at reducing or eliminating tariffs and realigning indirect taxes. Aquino Administration (1986-1992) Faced with problems inherited from the previous administration, the most important of which being the large fiscal deficit heightened by the low tax effort due to a weak tax system, Aquino enacted the 1986 Tax Reform Program (TRP). The aim of the TRP was to â€Å"simplify the tax system, make revenues more responsive to economic activity, promote horizontal equity and promote growth by correcting existing taxes that impaired business incentives†. One of the major reforms enacted under the program was the introduction of the Value Added Tax (VAT), which was set at 10%. The 1986 tax reform program resulted in reduced fiscal imbalance and higher tax effort in the succeeding years, peaking in 1997, before the enactment of the 1997 Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP). The share of non-tax revenues during this period soared due to the sale of sequestered assets of President Marcos and his cronies (totalling to about â‚ ±20 billion), the initial efforts to deregulate the oil i ndustry and thrust towards the privatization of state enterprises. Public debt servicing and interest payments as a percent of the budget peaked during this period as government focused on making up for the debt incurred by the Marcos administration. Another important reform enacted during the Aquino administration was the passage of the 1991 Local Government Code which enabled fiscal decentralization. This increased the taxing and spending powers to local governments in effect increasing local government resources. Ramos Administration (1993-1998) The Ramos administration had budget surpluses for four of its six years in power. The government benefited from the massive sale of government assets (totalling to about â‚ ±70 billion, the biggest among the administrations) and continued to benefit from the 1986 TRP. The administration invested heavily on the power sector as the country was beset by power outages. The government utilized its emergency powers to fast-track the construction of power projects and established contracts with independent power plants. This period also experienced a real estate boom and strong foreign direct investment to the country during the early years of the administration, in effect overvaluing the peso. However, with the onset of the Asian financial crisis, the peso depreciated by almost 40%. The Ramos administration relied heavily on external borrowing to finance its fiscal deficit but quickly switched to domestic dependence on the onset of the Asian financial crisis. The administration has been accused of resorting to â€Å"budget trickery† during the crisis: balancing assets through the sales of assets, building up accounts payable and delaying payment of government premium to social security holders. In 1997, the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP) was enacted. Republic Act (RA) 8184 and RA 8240, which were implemented under the program, were estimated to yield additional taxes of around â‚ ±7.4 billion; however, a decline in tax effort during the succeeding periods was observed after the CTRP was implemented. This was attributed to the unfavorable economic climate created by the Asian fiscal crisis and the poor implementation of the provisions of the reform. A sharp decrease in international trade tax contribution to GDP was also observed as a consequence of the trade liberalization and globalization efforts in the 1990s, more prominently, the establishment of the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA) and membership to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and t he Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). The Ramos administration also provided additional incentives to export-oriented firms, the most prominent among these being RA 7227 which was instrumental to the success of the Subic Bay Freeport Zone. Estrada Administration (1999-2000) President Estrada, who assumed office at the height of the Asian financial crisis, faced a large fiscal deficit, which was mainly attributed to the sharp deterioration in the tax effort (as a result of the 1997 CTRP: increased tax incentives, narrowing of VAT base and lowering of tariff walls) and higher interest payments given the sharp depreciation of the peso during the crisis. The administration also had to pay P60 billion worth of accounts payables left unpaid by the Ramos administration to contractors and suppliers. Public spending focused on social services, with spending on basic education reaching its peak. To finance the fiscal deficit, Estrada created a balance between domestic and foreign borrowing. Arroyo Administration (2002-2009) The Arroyo administration’s poor fiscal position was attributed to weakening tax effort (still resulting from the 1997 CTRP) and rising debt servicing costs (due to peso depreciation). Large fiscal deficits and heavy losses for monitored government corporations were observed during this period. National debt-to-GDP ratio reached an all-time high during the Arroyo administration, averaging at 69.2%. Investment in public infrastructure (at only 1.9% of GDP), expenditure for economic services, health spending and education spending all hit an historic-low during the Arroyo administration. The government responded to its poor fiscal position by under-spending in public infrastructure and social overhead capital (education and health care), thus sacrificing the economy’s long-term growth. In 2005, RA 9337 was enacted, the most significant amendments of which were the removal of electricity and petroleum VAT exemptions and the increase in the VAT rate from 10% to 12%.

Comparing Robert Frost and Emily Dickinson Essays -- Comparison Poetry

Comparing Robert Frost and Emily Dickinson as Poets Often, the poets Robert Frost and Emily Dickinson try to convey the themes of the meaning of nature, or that of death and loneliness.   Although they were born more than fifty years apart their poetry is similar in many ways.   Both poets talk about the power of nature, death and loneliness.   However, Dickinson and Frost are not similar in all poetic aspects.   In fact, they differ greatly in tone. Emily Dickinson and Robert Frost both talk about the power of nature in their poetry.   Dickinson uses this theme in her poem " `Nature' is what we see -."   The power of nature is strongly portrayed in this poem by Dickinson's articulation of what the speaker see's in nature.   " `Nature' is what we see -... / Nature is what we hear -... / Nature is what we know -" (277 lines 1,5,9).   Nature is everything to a person, it appeals to all senses.   Dickinson also says in this poem, "So impotent Our Wisdom is / To her Simplicity" (277).   The speaker is saying that nature has such great power that one can't even comprehend her simplest ways. In comparison ... ...89.   p466. ----- "Birches."   American Literature. New York:   Scribner Laidlaw.   1989.   p472,473. ----- "Fire and Ice"   American Literature. New York: Scribner Laidlaw.   1989.   p466. Freeman, Margaret. "Metaphor Making Meaning: Dickinson's Conceptual Universe." Journal of Pragmatics 24 (1995): 643-666. Nesteruk, Peter. "The Many Deaths of Emily Dickinson." Emily Dickinson journal 6.1 (1997): 25-44. White, Fred D. "`Sweet Skepticism of the Heart': Science in the Poetry of Emily Dickinson." College Literature 19.1 (Feb 1992): 121-128.

Foreign Trade of China

Foreign Trade of China K. C. Fung University of California, Santa Cruz Hitomi Iizaka University of California, Santa Cruz Sarah Tong University of Hong Kong June 2002 Paper prepared for an international conference on â€Å"China’s Economy in the 21st Century†, to be held on June 24-25, 2002, Hong Kong. We would like to thank Alan Siu and Richard Wong for their encouragement. 1. Introduction On December 11, 2001, China officially joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) and became its 143rd member. China’s presence in the world economy will continue to grow and deepen. The foreign trade sector plays an important and ultifaceted role in China’s economic development. At the same time, China’s expanded role in the world economy is beneficial to all its trading partners. Regions that trade with China benefit from cheaper and more varieties of imported consumer goods, raw materials and intermediate products. China is also a large and growing export marke t. While the entry of any major trading nation in the global trading system can create a process of adjustment, the outcome is fundamentally a win-win situation. In this paper we would like to provide a survey of the various institutions, laws and characteristics of China’s trade.Among some of the findings, we can highlight the following: †¢ †¢ †¢ In 2001, total trade to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio in China is 44% In 2001, 47% of Chinese trade is processed trade1 In 2001, 51% of Chinese trade is conducted by foreign firms in China2 1 We define processed trade to include both trade due to processing and assembly and trade due to processing with imported materials. Processing and assembly refers to the type of inward processing in which foreign suppliers provide raw materials, parts or components under a contractual arrangement for the subsequent re-exportation of the processed products.Both the imported inputs and the finished outputs remain property of t he foreign supplier. Processing with imported materials refers to the type of inward processing other than â€Å"processing and assembly†. For details, see China’s Customs Statistics Monthly, December, 2001. †¢ †¢ In 2001, 36% of Chinese exports originate from Guangdong province In 2001, 39% of China’s exports go through Hong Kong to be re-exported elsewhere3 The organization of this paper is as follows: in the next section, we provide a general overview of the past institutions and rules governing trade in China.We will also examine the evolution of China’s general trade pattern over time. In section 3, we will study China’s processed trade and trade conducted by foreign firms. In section 4, we study China's trade by province and by regions. In section 5, we focus on China's trade with the world major regions, including Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America and Africa. In section 6, we will examine China's trade with various major t rading partners. In section 7, we discuss China's new trade regime with its entry to the World Trade Organization (WTO).In section 8, we analyze in greater details the trade relationships between China and the United States, China and Japan, China and the European Union, and between China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). In section 9, we conclude. 2. Evolution of China’s Trade Regime Since the economic reforms and open door policy started in 1978, there has been a strikingly sharp rise in China’s exports and imports. As is shown in Table 1, between 1978 and 2001, the total value of China’s trade grew at an average annual rate of 15. 5% and export and imports grew at 16. % and 15. 6% per annum, respectively. 2 Foreign firms include Sino-foreign contractual joint venture, Sino-foreign equity joint venture and foreign-owned enterprises. A substantial portion of trade conducted by foreign firms is processed trade. 3 This is obtained by dividin g the value of Hong Kong re-exports that originate from China by the total Chinese exports to the world. In the pre-reform era, China was an insignificant participant in international trade. China’s foreign trade system was a complete state monopoly controlled by the Ministry of Foreign Trade (MOFT).Trade was conducted by product-specific national foreign trade corporations (FTCs) operating under a near total mandatory trade plan. In 1977, China’s total trade volume was $14. 8 billion, which accounted for only 0. 6% of world trade. A series of measure was introduced to promote exports since 1979. They are meant to decentralize foreign trade administration, to reduce the scope of mandatory planning, and to introduce the market mechanism. Compared to the export system, the import system remained relatively unreformed in the 1980s.In addition to import licensing and high tariffs on protected products, almost all import users were subject to a series of administrative meas ure and complicated approval procedure. By the early 1990s, the significance of China’s role in the international economy was transformed. In 1992, its trade volume accounted for 2. 2% of world trade. China’s trade regime has become more transparent with its desire to join the WTO. The control over imports was more relaxed with a reduction on a large number of tariff rates.In 1994, the foreign exchange regime was reformed by abolishing the dual exchange rate system, which was introduced in 1986 with the establishment of the foreign exchange adjustment centers (FEACs), or swap centers. The new regime allowed domestic firms to buy and sell foreign currencies at the official exchange rate. In 1996, the new foreign exchange regime became applicable to foreign enterprises as well. During the years 1997-1998, the adverse effects of the Asia financial crisis became more apparent, and China’s foreign trade was met with unprecedented difficulties. China’s total tr ade went down by 0. 4% and its imports decreased by 1. %, although its exports maintain a small growth rate of 0. 5%. But China’s trade growth accelerated since 1999 with the recovery in the Asian economies. From 1999 to 2000, total trade grew at an annualized rate of 31. 2%. The export value reached $249. 2 billion, up 27. 8% and the import value reached $225. 1 billion, up 35. 8%. In 2001, there is a modest increase in trading activities, with total trade rising by 7. 8%. Equally remarkable are the changes in the commodity composition of China’s exports and imports. Table 2a shows China’s annual export volumes of primary goods and manufactured goods over time.In 1980, primary goods accounted for 50. 3% of China’s exports and manufactured goods accounted for 49. 7%. Although the share of primary good declines slightly during the first half of 1980’s, it remains at 50. 6% in 1985. Since then, exports of manufactured goods have grown at a much faste r rate than exports of primary goods. As a result, the share of manufactured goods increased to 90. 1%, and that of primary good decreased to 9. 9% by 2001. Also shown in those tables are five subgroups for manufactured goods and primary goods. China’s export was highly dependent on its exports of coal, petroleum, and petroleum products until mid-80s.The large export volume of petroleum was also supported by a sharp rise in oil prices during the period. In 1985, the share of mineral fuels is 26. 1%. In 1986, the sudden decline in the share of primary goods in total exports occurs, which is largely associated with the decline in the export volume of mineral fuels. The price reforms coupled with the declined world petroleum price are attributable to the decline. Domestic agriculture production expanded during the 1980’s in response to the higher prices through the price reforms and more opportunities given to the producers to market their products.Although the share of f ood and live animals in total exports has declined over time, China has become a net exporter of such products since 1984. Turning to the manufactured goods, the large increase in the share of the manufactured goods in the total exports since mid-80s is largely accounted for by the increase in the export in the textile category and the miscellaneous products category. These two groups include labor-intensive products such as textiles, apparel, footwear, and toys and sporting goods. During the 1990s, the category that exhibited the most significant surge in exports is machinery and transport equipment.Its share expanded from 9. 0% in 1990 to 35. 7 % in 2001. The change in the commodity composition in China’s imports can be seen in Table 2b. The share of primary goods in total exports fell from 34. 8% in 1980 to 18. 8% in 2001. The decline in the share reflects large decrease in imports of food and live animals. Its share reached the highest at 21. 8% in 1982 has declined over the past 20 years to 2. 0% in 2001. The increased production of agricultural production due to domestic economic reforms enable China to reduce the amount of its agricultural imports.The share of mineral fuels in imports on the other hand, has been steadily increasing during the period. The rapid economic growth that China has experienced has led to a shortage of those products domestically. China has been a net importer of mineral fuels for the past six consecutive years. The share of manufactured products in total imports rose from 65. 2% in 1980 to 81. 2% in 2001. This is largely attributed to sharply rising imports of machinery and transportation equipment. There are two major factors that led to the increase of importing machinery and transportation equipment.First, the imported machinery and transportation equipment embodied a higher level of technology than those produced domestically. Second, since China initiated the open-door policy, throughout the 1980s and the 1990s, the government promoted to open the economy to foreign investors by adopting a series of reforms and new regulations. Those include establishing Special Economic Zones, Open Coastal Cities, opening up of new sectors, various preferential policies for foreign multinationals such as tax concession, import tariff exemption, and so on.These efforts resulted in creating a more favorable investment environment for foreign multinationals, which led to a considerable rise in foreign direct investment. Among other activities, these foreign firms engage in processing trade. China has become an important link in the global supply chain for multinationals. In addition, China has also a large and growing market. The increased share of imports of machinery and electronics products reflects the increased use of global outsourcing as well as the growth of China’s domestic market. 3.China’s Processing Trade and Trade by Foreign Invested Firms China established the legal framework for proc essing and assembly arrangements in 1979. Since then, China has built up considerable strengths in assembling and processing of industrial parts and components. It covers a wide range of industries such as electric machinery, automobile, aerospace, and shipbuilding. Table 3a and Table 3b demonstrate the amount of processing exports and imports and the importance of stateowned enterprises (SOEs) and foreign-invested enterprises (FIEs) in such forms of trade for 1995-2001.Throughout the period from 1995 to 2001, the shares of these two types of processing exports exceed more than half of China’s total exports. In 2001, processing exports account for 55. 4% of the total exports. As is seen in Table 3a, process & assembling was dominated by SOEs in 1995. However, the trend has been changing. The share of SOEs in process & assembling has been steadily declining over the years from 84% in 1995 to 62% in 2001. The other type of trade, process with imported materials was largely cond ucted by FIEs and their shares have been gradually increasing from 81% in 1995 to 88% in 2001.In China’s imports (see Table 3b), processing trade is relatively small compared to exports. After it peaked at 49% in 1997, processed imports decline to 39% in 2001. The decreasing importance of SOEs can be seen in China’s imports as well. Shares by SOEs decreased from 81% in 1995 to 58% in 2001 for process & assembling, and from 18% to 7% for process with imported materials. The decreased role for SOEs in processing trade may reflect the inefficiency in conducting their business. Since 1997, the Chinese government decided to implement the shareholding system and to sell a large number of medium- and small-sized SOEs to the private sector.A number of larger enterprise groups will be established in various industries through mergers, acquisitions, and leasing and contracting. The restructuring of SOEs is intended to increase profits and to improve their competitive edge. 4. Ch ina’s Trade by Provinces and Regions A regional breakdown of exports and imports reveals important characteristics of the foreign trade in China. In 1997, 89. 1% of the total exports came from the Eastern region of China (Beijing, Tianjin, Heibei, Lioaning, Guangxi, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Shangdong, Guandong and Hainan).Within the East, the Southeast region accounts for 76. 3% of China's exports in 1997. 4 Guangdong alone produces 41. 6% of the total exports for the same year. Such regional imbalances in exporting activities persist to the present day. In 2001, Guandong's share of the national exports is 36. 0%. For the Southeast and the East, the shares are respectively 79. 0% and 91. 1%. A similar degree of unevenness in trade can be seen in the nation’s imports. For the year 1997, the East and the Southeast accounts for 91. 6% and 74. 7% of the total imports, while Guangdong imports 39. %. In 2001, the East and the Southeast again accounts for 91. 4% a nd 74. 0%. Guangdong remains the international trade powerhouse of China. In 2001, the province imports 34. 6% or more than one-third of the nation's imports. This imbalance of the regional growth in foreign trade may partially be attributed to the various geographic-specific and sequential open-door policies China has exercised throughout the last twenty years. The strong growth of the export sector in the coastal area has been supported by the massive use of foreign direct investment (FDI).FDI was first attracted by the creation of the Special Economic Zones (SEZ). FDI was concentrated in the provinces of the Southeast coast, namely, Guandong and Fujian. The multinational enterprises that are export-oriented or use advanced technologies are able to enjoy various preferential policies in the SEZs, such as reduced or exempted corporate income tax, exemption from import tariffs on imported equipment and raw materials. In 1984, fourteen coastal cities were opened and were granted simi lar policies as SEZs.Out of those fourteen cities, ten are located in the Southeast coast regions and four are in the rest of the Eastern regions. Furthermore in 1985, similar preferential policies were 4 Southeast region includes Shanghai, Jiangsu province, Zhejiang province, Fujian province, Shangdong province, Guandong province and Hainan Province. granted to other coastal economic regions, Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Minnan Delta which is to the south of Fujian. In 1990, Pudong in Shanghai was opened and was granted extensive preferential policies.Since 1984, the Chinese government established thirty-two national-level Economic and Technological Development Zones (ETDZs) to enhance FDIs from foreign firms that are export-oriented and technologically advanced. Of those ETDZs, twenty are located in the Southeast coastal area, six are in the rest of the Eastern region, four are in the Central part of China, and only two are in the Western region of China. Thus govern ment policies which establish these economic zones attract foreign direct investment mainly in the Eastern and Southeastern regions, which lead to a concentration of exports and trade in these areas.Another reason for the unevenly high export growth in the Southeast coast is its geographic proximity to Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan. Since the early stages of the opening-up of China, Hong Kong has been moving their labor-intensive manufacturing industries to the Southeast of China, mainly to Guangdong, to take advantage of the abundant supply of cheap labor. These firms contributed to the fast growth of processed exports in the region. On the other hand, the Fujian Delta area became the home for many firms from Taiwan due to its geographic and cultural proximity to Taiwan.The share of exports in The Yangtze River Delta, the home of Shanghai and two provinces, Jiangsu and Zhejiang has grown steadily during the period 1997 to 2001. The share of those three regions grew to 10. 1%, 11. 0% , and 9. 1% in 2001 from 8. 1%, 7. 9% and 5. 9% in 1997, respectively. As the role of high-tech industry becomes more significant in China’s output and China’s comparative advantage in skilled-labor and capital-intensive industries becomes higher, the Yangtze River Delta becomes a new magnet for investment by foreign enterprises.These foreign investments in turn lead to more export and trade. 5. Foreign Trade by Major World Regions Using China’s official statistics, Table 4a and 4b highlight merchandise exports and imports to and from major world regions for 1993 – 2001: Asia, Africa, Europe, Latin America, North America and Oceania. As we see from Table 4a, China’s most important export region has always been Asia, which absorbs 53% of China’s exports in 2001. However, their share of absorption declines from almost 62%, their peak level of 1995.The importance of North America and Europe in China’s exports, however, has been increasin g since 1998. In 2001, North America takes in more than 22% of exports and Europe takes in more than 18%. The reliance of China’s trade on Asia can be seen in merchandise imports as well. Asia by far is the largest supplier of China’s imports. Asia accounts for more than 60% of China’s imports in 2001. Furthermore, its share has been more stable than that for exports. The next largest supplier was Europe. However, Europe’s share has been declining gradually over the period.North America has been third, with a share of more than 12% in 2001. A somewhat surprising finding is the significant increase in China’s imports from Africa. Import volume from Africa in 2001 is close to five times as big as it was in 1993. Table 4a and 4b highlight China’s reliance on the Asian market for both its imports and exports. On the other hand, North America has been more of an export market than a source of import supply. 5 5 If we take into account of re-expor ts to different regions, the shares of exports and imports to various world regions will have to be adjusted. . China’s Merchandise Exports and Imports by Major Trading Partners Table 5a and Table 5b document China’s merchandise exports to and imports from its major trading partners, using China’s official statistics. According to Table 5a, the major exports markets for China in 2001 are: the United States (20. 4%), Hong Kong (17. 5%), Japan (16. 9%) and the European Union (15. 4%). It is well-known that a large proportion of Chinese exports to Hong Kong are re-exported elsewhere so that the true size of the Hong Kong export market has to be estimated.To save space for this paper, we will just rely on the official Chinese figures. 6 Even without adjusting for re-exports, the United States in 2001 is the largest export market for China. Thus, from an international trade perspective alone, the most important bilateral trade relationship for China is the relationsh ip with the United States. Together the United States, Hong Kong, Japan and the European Union take in 70. 2% of China’s exports in 2001. Within ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations), Singapore has been the largest export market for China. In 2001, 31. % of China’s total exports to ASEAN is destined for Singapore. Within the European Union (EU), Germany is the largest market with 23. 8% of the total Chinese exports going to the EU. Turning to the import side, Japan is the largest source of China's imports. In 2001, Japan accounted for 17. 6% of China’s total imports. The European Union comes in second, with a share of 14. 7%. Taiwan and the United States are respectively third and fourth, with shares of 11. 2% and 10. 8%. Korea is fourth largest, with a share of 9. 6%. Korea’s export to China has more than quadrupled in absolute terms from $5. 6 billion in 1993 to $23. 4 billion in 2001 with its share increased from 5. 16% to 9. 6%. Another tradi ng partner that shows a growing importance as a supplier of China’s imports is ASEAN. According to official Chinese figures, in 2001, the total value of their exports to China is $23. 2 billion, which is close to four times as large as it was in 1993. We are aware that the official Chinese trade statistics do not appropriately take the large volume of re-exports via Hong Kong into account and the above comparisons of China’s exports to and import from its trading partners has to be adjusted.For the case of the United States, Fung and Lau (2001) have done detailed adjustments to the official U. S. and Chinese trade data. If we do adjust these trade figures, the two countries with the largest export markets for China in 2001 will almost surely be the United States and Japan. In fact, the United States has been the largest export market for China for quite sometime. This reiterates a point that we have made earlier: from a trade standpoint, the bilateral Sino-U. S. relati onship is the single most important relationship for China. It is essential that China takes steps to maintain the health and stability of such a relationship. . China’s Trade Regime with Entry to the WTO China formally applied to become a member of the GATT in July 1986. It is not until December 2001 that China finally entered the WTO. During these 15 years, China engaged in multilateral negotiations, as well as bilateral negotiations with 37 separate countries and areas including Japan, the United States and the European Union. Although China will enjoy its rights as a full member of the WTO, many domestic laws and regulations need to be reviewed, abolished or modified in order to enforce the WTO agreement and the protocol of accessions.China is required to implement WTO- consistent policy regimes in a wide range of areas and sectors, such as, tariffs, non-tariff6 For details of such adjustments, see Fung and Lau (2001). measures, trade-related investment measure, telecommu nications, financial sector, service sector, government procurement, etc. The following is the short and selective summary of the WTO agreement and its possible impact on China’s economy. 7. 1. Tariffs China has agreed to gradually lower its tariffs on a total of 7,151 items by 2010.Details of the expected changes in the tariff schedules are shown in Table 6. Tariffs on passenger automobiles were 80 to 100% in 1998. Tariffs were cut to 51. 9% with WTO accession and will further be decreased to 25% by 2005. Tariffs on information technology products such as computers and semiconductors will be reduced to zero and those on home appliances such as air conditioners, refrigerators, and television sets will be reduced to 10% to 20% by 2005. The average rate of tariffs on all items at the time of accession in 2001 was 13. 6%, which is scheduled to be lowered to 9. 8% in 2010.Out of 7,151 items, 977 are in agricultural products, whose average rate of tariff is scheduled to be lowered from 22. 7% to 15. 0%. The average rate of tariff on the rest of the 6,174 items, which include mining and manufacturing products, will be lowered from 16. 6% to 8. 9%. China lowered tariffs on over 5,300 items to 12% in January 2002. Currently, the average rate of tariffs on manufactured products is 11. 6%. The average tariff rate on agricultural products is 15. 8%. Cutting tariffs will benefit China’s economy by increasing efficiency and expanding a variety of goods for consumers.Increased foreign competition will challenge domestic producers to improve their competitiveness. The extent of economic benefits from reduced tariffs to foreign firms should also be significant but not as large as it seems. Since 1996, China has already cut tariffs significantly. The average tariff rate on all imports was reduced from 42% in 1992 to 17. 5% in 2000. China’s proposal to reduce the average tariffs amounts to a reduction of a little over 1% a year. But tariff rates applied in certain sectors can be significantly lower than the published rates. This is the case for high technology industry.A new foreign investment policy in 1999, for an example, allows export-oriented foreign firms to import equipment from abroad without any import duties. 7. 2. Other import restrictions China agrees to eliminate any import restrictions that are not WTO compatible, such as import quotas, import licensing, and foreign exchange control by 2005. China subjects a broad range of commodities to import quotas, including agricultural products such as grains and vegetable oils, raw materials such as fertilizer and cotton, consumer products such as color TVs, cameras, video camera recorders, automobiles, and so on.Many products that are subject to import quotas also require import licenses. Accession to the WTO requires China to comply with rules set out by various WTO Articles to ensure nondiscriminatory application of quotas and to make import licensing procedures more transparen t and simple. For example, import quotas on automobiles and parts will be eliminated by 2005. In the meantime, the value of total imports of automobiles and parts allowed will be increased by 15% each year. The elimination of these non-tariff barriers will significantly increase international competition. Protected sectors such as the utomobile industry in China will face difficult challenges from foreign competitors. But after a period of adjustments and consolidations, such industries are expected to become more efficient and competitive. 7. 3. Service Industries In accordance to WTO agreements, China will also open up its service sector to foreign competition, including distribution, insurance, banking, and telecommunications. Telecommunications, including fixed-line telephone services, cellular telephones, and internet services is one area that has been under strong government control in the past.The various restrictions imposed on the sector, such as the percentage of foreign c apital allowed and the area where foreign firms can operate, will be eliminated. A foreign nonlife insurer is permitted to establish as a branch or as a joint venture with 51% foreign ownership. A foreign life insurer is permitted 50% foreign ownership in a joint venture. Over time, geographical restrictions will also be eliminated. Within five years, foreign financial institutions are allowed to have full market access and to provide services to all Chinese clients.The financial position of the Chinese banking system is weak and foreign participation in the sector has been small. In order to improve efficiency and to gain foreign capital, some banks are expected to form strategic partnerships with foreign banks. China will also allow full trading and direct distribution by foreign firms including wholesale and retail trade and the provision of after-sale service. In sum, in all these areas, domestic Chinese entities will face stiff competition from foreign firms.But the increased c ompetition will eventually lead to increased efficiency and higher labor productivity, which will raise China's competitiveness in the world market. 8. China’s Trade Relations with Selective Trading Partners 8. 1 U. S – China Relationship A healthy Sino-U. S. economic relationship is critical to China's economic development. U. S. -China commercial ties have expanded substantially since the beginning of economic reforms. According to Chinese statistics, U. S. exports to China were $721. 1 million and imports were $270. 67 million in 1978.Those figures grew to $26. 20 billion and $54. 28 billion in 2001, respectively. China is currently the 4th largest trading partner for the United States. U. S. -China commercial ties have been strained by a number of issues. The U. S. -China bilateral trade balance has been in deficits for years and is progressively increasing. Even though professional economists view bilateral trade deficits as a result of saving-investment imbalance s and government budget deficits, U. S. policymakers continue to have great concerns with the presence of the bilateral trade imbalances.Fung and Lau (2001) have estimated that the China-United States bilateral trade balance is bigger than what the official Chinese figures indicate, but much smaller than the official U. S. official estimates. These discrepancies are due to a variety of factors, including the different ways imports and exports are measured, re-exports via Hong Kong and the re-export markups imposed by Hong Kong middlemen. Despite the fact that the bilateral trade deficits are not as large as they appear, they are still big and are growing. countries. Table 7a shows the top 15 U. S. mports from China for the years 1995 to 2000. During this period, there is a significant growth in U. S. imports of capital-intensive manufactures goods. The largest import from China has been electrical machinery, Trade imbalances remain a source of trade friction between the two which ac counts for almost 20% of total U. S. imports from China in 2000. Non-electric machinery, which includes boilers, machinery and mechanical appliance, accounts for about 8% of imports in 1995 but has grown to 13% by the year 2000. Non-electric machinery is now the second largest U.S. import item from China. There is no doubt that some of these items are processed exports from China. In other words, production in China and its subsequent export constitutes only one or several stages of the entire global production chain. The rest of the U. S. imports from China largely concentrate in low valued-added and labor-intensive products, such as toys, games, and sports equipment, footwear, furniture, apparel; and leather products. China’s accession to the WTO would likely have a significant positive effect on U. S. -China trade. A study by the U. S.International Trade Commission estimates that the United States will benefit from increasing its exports to China by $3. 1 billion. Another study by Goldman Sachs estimates that China’s WTO accession will bring an additional $13 billion to U. S. exports by 2005. Table 7b shows the top 15 U. S. exports to China for the years 1995 to 2000. As mentioned before, Chinese import quotas and licensing covers a wide range of commodities. A number of items that is important to the United States, including oilseeds, cameras, and motor vehicles have been subjected to both import licensing and quotas.Elimination of import licensing and quotas under the WTO agreement will create a positive impact on the U. S. economy by generating more exports, reducing costs for trade. At the same time, the Chinese economy will also benefit in the longer run as its domestic producers will become more efficient and more productive in the face of more intense foreign competition. The U. S. – China bilateral WTO agreement provides increased access for U. S. agricultural exports across a wide range of commodities. A tariff-rate quota (TRQ) ystem will be established to wheat, corn, rice, oilseeds, vegetable oils, sugar, wool, and cotton, which are identified as priority sectors to the United States. Under a TRQ, the same low in-quota duty is applied to each importer up to a particular amount and out-ofquota rate is applied to any imports that exceed the particular threshold amount. China still can reserve a share of imports for state trading enterprises. The institution of TRQ will provide a share of the TRQ for private traders other than state trading entities. Some U. S. sectors will benefit from significant cuts in tariffs.Overall industrial tariffs will be cut from an average of 24. 6% in 1997 to 9. 4% by 2005. Average tariffs for U. S. priority agriculture products, such as beef, grapes, wine cheese, poultry, and pork will be cut from 31. 5% to 14. 5% by 2004. A study by the U. S. International Trade Commission finds that U. S. exporters will gain from such tariff cuts by a modest amount, ranging from $1. 5 billi on to $1. 9 billion. As U. S. and China expanded their commercial relations, disputes have arisen over a wide variety of issues. One of the on-going trade frictions that the two countries face is textile trade.Under the Agreement on Textile and Clothing, the U. S. textile and clothing quotas will have to be removed by 20057. The U. S. textiles and clothing industries, which have been under the protection of quotas, will be subjected to competition with Chinese imports. But this is likely to be beneficial to both countries, as the United States eliminate the inefficient trade barriers in textile and garment. 7 The U. S. negotiated with China for a special safeguard provision to enable the United States to have additional protection against Chinese imports. 8. Japan-China Relations Japan and China have deepened their economic ties since China’s reform policy started in 1978. Japan is China’s largest trading partner, while China is Japan’s second largest trading pa rtner. The two countries together constitute Asia’s largest trading partner. Although the total volume of trade declined in 1998, it quickly recovered during the following year. According to Chinese statistics, the value of Chinese exports to Japan in 1999 is $32. 40 billion, which exceeds the value of Chinese exports in 1996 before the onset of the Asian financial crisis.There has been robust growth in the volume of trade between the two countries in 2001. Japanese exports to China have grown from $3. 11 billion in 1978 to $42. 8 billion in 2001, and Japanese imports from China have grown from $1. 72 billion in 1978 to $45. 0 billion in 2001. Table 8 takes data from official Japanese trade statistics and it shows changes in the commodity composition of Japanese exports and imports to and from China. 8 Traditionally, China has supplied Japan with agricultural goods and raw materials, while Japan supplied China with capital goods to China. In 1991, Japanese imports of oodstuff s and textile amounts to almost half of its total imports from China, while more than 70% of Japanese exports to China are capital goods. This pattern changes in the 1990s. Japanese imports of foodstuff decline to 10. 7% in 2000, and those of textile declined to 30. 3% after reaching a peak of 36. 4% in 1993. On the other hand, the shares of Chinese exports of both general machinery and electrical machinery increase dramatically from 0. 9% and 4. 0% in 1991 to 6. 9% and 15. 1% in 2000, respectively. A large proportion of the production and export of such machinery in China is processed ith imported components by Japanese affiliated firm, reflecting the increased amount of Japan’s production in the manufacturing sector in China. China concluded its bilateral trade agreement with Japan on September 4, 1999. China’s accession to the WTO would likely have a significant positive effect on SinoJapanese trade for the following reasons. First, China and Japan are important tra ding partners with each other. Second, many products subject to licensing and quotas in China are consumer electronics such as color TVs, VCRs, tape players and cameras, which are major Japanese exports.The removal of non-tariff barriers will eventually strengthen the competitiveness of the Chinese industries. At the same time, it will have a significant impact on Japanese exports. A study by the Economic Planning Agency (2000) of the Japanese government estimates that by 2005, China’s accession to the WTO will increase Japanese exports by 20. 1 billion, while raising its imports from China by 6. 5 billion. The large reduction in Chinese tariffs happens to occur in industries in which Japan has already established competitive edges, such as the automobile industry and the information technology industry.For example, in 1998, Japanese exports share of automobiles to China was 66% in terms of the value, whereas the figures for the U. S. and the EU are 10% and 7%, respectively. China cuts its tariffs on automobile imports from 80-100% to 70-80% at the beginning of 2001. Auto imports from China are expected to continue to increase. 8. 3 ASEAN – China Relations 8 Data are taken from White Paper in International Trade, MITI, Government of Japan, various years. Note that the aggregate import and export values in Table 8 differ from those taken from the official Chinese data.According to ASEAN statistics, their share of China’s trade rises significantly from 5. 8% in 1991 to 8. 3% in 20009. ASEAN has become the fifth largest trade partner of China after Japan, the United States, the European Union and Hong Kong. The change in the commodity composition in ASEAN exports to China is equally remarkable. In 1993, two of their largest export commodities to China are HS#27: mineral fuels; oils; and waxes, and HS#44: wood and articles of wood, which account for about 55% of their total exports. In 2000, however, the share of those commodities declined to pproximately 22%. In contrast, the shares of HS#84 and 85, electrical and general machinery go up from about 12% to 38% during the same period. On the imports side, electrical and general machinery are the largest and the second largest import commodities from China in 1993, and these two items continue to be the most important ones in the year 2000. However, their relative shares in total ASEAN imports from China increase dramatically from 21% in 1993 to 51% in 2000. ASEAN’s largest trading partners (excluding ASEAN itself) have always been the United States, the European Union and Japan.During the 1990s, many ASEAN members started to lose competitiveness and market shares to China. In trading with the large industrialized countries, China has been catching up to the ASEAN member countries. Table 9 shows the exports from ASEAN and China to the United States, the European Union and Japan. Compared to the 1993 Chinese exports, ASEAN’s exports to the United States, the E uropean Union and Japan are respectively 148%, 157%, and 96% larger for the same year. Similar comparisons show that China has been gaining on 9 Data are taken out from the ASEAN Trade Statistics Database.ASEAN throughout the 1990s, By 2000, ASEAN’s exports to these three key markets are only larger than those from China by 30%, 51%, and 25% respectively10. Many ASEAN member countries are concerned as China develops and finally joins the WTO. On the positive side, China’s accession to the WTO will mean greater market access for ASEAN exports to China. Chinese tariffs against ASEAN products will be cut between 34% to 47% by the year 2005 (Thitapha Wattanapruttipaisan, 2001). However, China’s accession also creates new competitiveness challenges to many ASEAN countries.There will be increased Chinese competition in ASEAN’S key export commodities in all the important markets. China’s largest export commodities are electric and general machinery (HS# X VI), which accounts for 31. 9% of their exports in 2001. Among other items, this category includes televisions, sound recorders, parts of those articles, mechanical appliances, and other machinery. Exports by ASEAN countries such as Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore also rely heavily on these commodities. The share of electric and general machinery in total exports from Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore in 2000 is 72. 2%, 84. 3%, and 77. 3%, respectively.Due to low wages, China may have competitive advantages in these industries. Another sector that China displays strong competitiveness is textile and clothing. During the 1990’s China has increased its market shares in key markets such as the United States, the European Union and Japan. This sector is particularly important to Thailand, Indonesia, and Philippines. For Philippines, knitted fabric (HS#61) and not-knitted fabric (HS#62) are the third and the fourth largest export commodities in 2000. China’s accessi on to the WTO will likely 10 Since the Asian crisis in 1997, China’s catching-up process appears to be accelerated ntensify competition between exporters from China and from ASEAN in both the Chinese domestic market as well as markets in the industrialized countries. 8. 4 EU – China Relation From 1978, the year when China’s economic reform started, to the year 2001, total trade volume between China and the European Union has increased more than fortyfold. In the early 1990’s, there has been frequent EU anti-dumping proceedings against China. In 1992, there were 20 anti-dumping measures against China, and the figure increases to 30 at the end of 1995 (Roger Strange, 1998).As China’s economy grows, the European Union begins to focus on fostering a more stable relationship with China. In 1995, the European Union passed a document entitled â€Å"A Long-Term Policy for China-Europe Relations. † This document emphasizes the importance of developin g more active economic engagements with China. Further EU policies toward China were set out in the 1998 communication â€Å"Building a Comprehensive Partnership with China†, which was implemented in 2001, with suggestions about concrete ways of furthering EUChina relations.Like almost all of the trading partners with China, a significant amount of trade between the European Union and China occurs as re-exports via Hong Kong. According to the Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong government, re-exports of Chinese goods to the European Union is $24. 3 billion in 2000. This accounts for 22. 3% of the total re-exports of goods of Chinese origin that passed through Hong Kong that year. In contrast, Hong Kong’s re-exports of goods from the European Union to China was only $6. 7 billion. This is 10. 7% of all the re-exports that go through Hong Kong to China that year.Table 10 shows the top 10 Chinese exports to and imports from the European Union. EU exports to China is highly concentrated in electrical and non-electrical machinery, accounting for 56% of its total exports to China. Although concentration on this category of exports is fairly common with China’s other trading partners, the extent of such concentration is unique to the European Union. For example, the percentage share of electrical and non-electrical machinery in U. S. total exports to China is 35. 8% in 2000 and comparable figure for Japan for the same year is 47%.In addition, electrical and non-electrical machinery are also important items on the list of EU imports from China. In 2000, this category of goods constitutes 35. 5% of total imports from China to the European Union. A bilateral EU-China agreement on China’s accession to the WTO was concluded on May 19, 2000. China agreed to cut its average import tariffs for 150 key products11 from 18. 6% to 10. 6%. These key products include spirits, cosmetics, leather articles, textiles, building materials, and m achinery and appliances. Furthermore, the agreement made specific commitment in the automobile industry.First, in two years, automobile manufacturers who have invested or will invest in joint ventures with Chinese firms will have freedom to make their own decisions regarding the class and models of the vehicle to be produced. Second, provincial authorities alone can approve automobile foreign investment projects with a value of no more than $150 million. The old limit used to be $30 million. Third, wholly foreign owned enterprises will be allowed in the automobile 11 These key products are spirits, cosmetics, leather articles, textiles, building materials, and machinery and appliances. ngine industry. Opening up the automobile sector is important to the European Union. Many European automobile manufacturers such as Volkswagen, Mercedes, Peugeot, Audi, and BMW are well established in China. Japan has been a key player in this industry in China for many years. But many European manufa cturers, particularly the Germans, have paid increasing attention to the growing Chinese market. . According to the People’s Daily (July 23, 2001), the number of automobiles imported by China from Japan in the first five month of 2001 accounts for 56% of the total imports of automobiles.However China also imports 14% of its automobiles from Germany. In the future, China may face increasing challenges in exporting to the European Union. The first challenge is the increased use of anti-dumping duties by the European Union towards China. According to China Daily (March 28, 2002), the current total number of anti-dumping cases against Chinese products launched by the European Union reaches 91, accounting for about one-fifth of the total anti-dumping cases that China faces. Second, with the launch of the Euro and plans to expand the European Union to include more members, there should be an increase of intra-EU trade.In some instances, the increase in intra-EU trade may occur at t he expense of trade with non-EU countries such as China. 9. Conclusion China has gone a considerable distance in its attempt to integrate itself to the global economy. China’s economy is an increasingly open one. In 2001, its total trade to GDP ratio reaches 44%. In December 2001, China formally joins the WTO. By joining the WTO, China binds itself to a rule-based trading system and signals to the world that it is ready to continue and even accelerate its open door reform policy. China’s trade is characterized by at least four characteristics.First, a large amount of trade is actually conducted by foreign firms in China. In 2001, 50% of Chinese trade is carried out by foreign-invested firms. Second, a very high percentage of Chinese trade is processed trade. In 2001, 47% of Chinese trade is related to processing. Furthermore, of the processed trade, 73% is conducted by foreign-invested enterprises. Third, there is a large amount of re-exports in China’s interact ions with the world. In 2001, 39% of China’s exports go through Hong Kong to be re-exported elsewhere. Lastly, China’s trade is geographically concentrated.In 2001, 35. 3% of Chinese trade originates from one province, viz. Guangdong. What might we expect to see in the future? With increased integration in the global economy, the prominent role of foreign firms in China’s trade will likely continue. The presence of foreign firms in Chinese trade reflects also the increased use of global outsourcing as a competitiveness strategy by multinationals from the industrialized economies. With low wages and a large pool of high quality labor, China has become a critical link in the global network of production fragmentation.At the same time, as China continues to grow, more and more of the foreign-invested firms, particularly those from the United States, Japan and the European Union, are set up to sell to the booming domestic Chinese market. While processed trade should remain an important feature of Chinese trade, it is no longer confined to low-tech and low value-added activities. U. S. high-technology companies continue to subcontract to firms in Taiwan. The same Taiwanese firms are moving or subcontracting to the Mainland. China has also become an important market for information technology (IT) products.According to the American Electronics Association (AEA), the largest umbrella industry group of high-technology companies in the United States, China is now the third largest IT market in the world. In fact, due to its own estimation of the importance and growth of China’s IT market, Silicon Valley acted as one of the most vocal and strongest supporters for China to join the WTO. In the near future, we can expect to see that China’s trade will be increasingly high-tech. The share of re-exports in China’s trade has declined in recent years. It is expected that this trend will continue.As China’s trade regime becomes more rule-based and more transparent, Chinese trade will also become more direct. With its advanced infrastructure in finance, insurance, shipping and telecommunications, Hong Kong remains a favorite site for multinationals to set up and maintain its regional headquarters. Hong Kong will continue to play an important role in coordinating the global supply chains involving parents of multinationals and specialized suppliers located in China and other Asian countries. The share of trade conducted by Guangdong province remains high.But there are indications that Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta have taken an increasing active role in the last few years. Over time, we may expect to see that there is some mild diversification in the share of trading activities away from Guangdong. In the future, we see that there are at least two challenges facing China in the area of international trade. First, with China’s competitiveness growing, many countries will perceive that their prod ucers will not be able to compete with the Chinese exports, either in the third market or in their own domestic market. The backlash will take the form of n increased use of anti-dumping duties and safeguards. We have already seen the use of such trade instruments against China from a variety of countries, including Japan, the European Union and the United States. A relatively new development is that even developing countries such as India and Mexico are using anti-dumping measures against Chinese exports to their countries. The difficulty with anti-dumping duties is that they are generally WTO-consistent. Thus joining the WTO does not mean that other countries will reduce their use of anti-dumping duties against China.A second challenge facing China is how to manage its trade relationship with the United States. The United States is the largest economy on earth. The United States is China’s largest export market. It is also a critical source of technology. A stable and healt hy relationship with the United States is important for China’s economic development. It is always a difficult adjustment process for countries to accept a newly emergent economic power. The United States as well as other countries may perceive China as a potential economic threat.Judging from the experience of the relationship between the United States and a rising Japan in the 1970s and the 1980s, it will not be too hard to imagine that there will be difficulties in the trade relationship between the United States and China. Managing and smoothing such a relationship should be an important goal for China. References: Almanac of China’s Foreign Economic Relations and Trade, Beijing: China Foreign Economic Relations and Trade Publishing, various years. Association of Southeast Asian Nations, ASEAN Database, various years. Chen, Xikang, Leonard Cheng, K. C. Fung and Lawrence J.Lau, â€Å"The Estimation of Chinese Domestic Value Added Induced by Chinese Exports to the U nited States,† Department of Economics, Stanford University, mimeo. Cheng, L. , L. Qiu and Keith Wong, 2001, â€Å"Antidumping Measures as a Tool of Protectionism: A Mechanism Design Approach,† Canadian Journal of Economics, 34(3), 639-660. China’s Customs Statistics Monthly, December, Beijing: General Administration of Customs of the People’s Republic of China, various years. China Statistical Yearbook, Beijing: China Statistical Press, various years. Fung, K. C. , 1998, â€Å"Accounting for Chinese Trade: Some National and RegionalConsiderations,† in R. Baldwin, R. Lipsey and J. David Richardson (ed. ) Geography and Ownership as Bases for Economic Accounting, NBER Conference Volume, Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Fung, K. C. and Lawrence J. Lau, 2001, â€Å"New Estimates of the United States-China Bilateral Trade Balances,† Journal of Japanese and International Economies, December. Naughton, B. , 1996, â€Å"China’s Emergence and Prospects as a Trading Nation,† Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2. Sung, Yun-Wing, 1991, The China-Hong Kong Connection, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Sung, Yun Wing, Pak Wai Liu, Richard Yue-Chim Wong and Pui King Lau, 1995, The Fifth Dragon: The Emergence of the Pearl River Delta, Singapore: Addison Wesley Publishing Company. Wong,Richard, Y. C. , 1995, â€Å"China’s Economic Reform—The Next Step,† Contemporary Economic Policy, 13:18-27. White Paper in International Trade, MITI, Tokyo: Government of Japan, various years. Woo, Wing T. , 2001, â€Å"Recent Claims of China’s Exceptionalism: Reflections Inspired by WTO Accession,† China Economic Review, 12, No. 2/3. WTO, 2002, â€Å"China Accession to the World Trade Organization,† mimeo.Table 1 China's Foreign Merchandise Trade Year 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Trade Volume (US $ billion) Total Exports Imports 20. 7 29. 4 38. 1 44 41. 6 43. 6 53. 5 69. 7 73. 8 82. 7 102. 8 111. 7 115. 4 135. 7 165. 6 195. 8 236. 7 280. 9 289. 9 325. 2 323. 9 360. 6 473. 3 509. 8 9. 8 13. 7 18. 1 22 22. 3 22. 2 26. 1 27. 4 30. 9 39. 4 47. 5 52. 5 62. 1 71. 9 85 91. 8 121 148. 8 151 182. 8 183. 7 194. 9 249. 2 266. 2 10. 9 15. 7 20 22 19. 3 21. 4 27. 4 42. 3 42. 9 43. 2 55. 3 59. 1 53. 63. 8 80. 6 104 115. 7 132. 1 138. 8 142. 4 140. 2 165. 7 225. 1 243. 6 Balance -1. 1 -2 -1. 9 0 3 0. 8 -1. 3 -14. 9 -12 -3. 8 -7. 8 -6. 6 8. 7 8. 1 4. 4 -12. 2 5. 3 16. 7 12. 2 40. 4 43. 5 29. 2 24. 1 22. 5 Total 100 142 184 213 201 211 258 337 357 400 497 540 557 656 800 946 1,143 1,357 1,400 1,571 1,565 1,742 2,287 2,463 Index 1978=100 Exports Imports 100 140 185 224 228 227 266 280 315 402 485 536 634 734 867 937 1,235 1,518 1,541 1,865 1,875 1,989 2,543 2,716 100 144 183 202 177 196 251 388 394 396 507 542 490 585 739 954 1,061 1,212 1,274 1,306 1,287 1,520 2,065 2,234Source: China's Cust oms Statistics, various years, General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China. Note: The figures are in US$ billion. Exports are valued on a f. o. b. basis, imports on a c. i. f. basis. Table 2a Composition of China's Export (US$100million) Total Primary goods total food Manufacture goods raw beveraes materials mineral oil total chemicals textile machinery miscel. others 1980 181. 19 91. 14 29. 85 0. 78 17. 11 42. 8 0. 6 90. 05 11. 2 39. 99 8. 43 28. 36 2. 07 1981 220. 07 102. 48 29. 24 0. 6 19. 48 52. 28 0. 88 117. 59 13. 42 47. 06 10. 87 37. 25 8. 99 1982 223. 1 100. 5 29. 08 0. 97 16. 53 53. 14 0. 78 122. 71 11. 96 43. 02 12. 63 37. 05 18. 05 1983 222. 26 96. 2 28. 53 1. 04 18. 92 46. 66 1. 05 126. 06 12. 51 43. 65 12. 21 38. 04 19. 65 1984 261. 39 119. 34 32. 32 1. 1 24. 21 60. 27 1. 44 142. 05 13. 64 50. 54 14. 93 46. 97 15. 97 1985 273. 5 138. 28 38. 03 1. 05 26. 53 71. 32 1. 35 135. 22 13. 58 44. 93 7. 72 34. 86 34. 13 1986 309. 42 112. 72 44. 48 1. 19 29 . 08 36. 83 1. 14 196. 7 17. 33 58. 86 10. 94 49. 48 60. 09 1987 394. 37 132. 31 47. 81 1. 75 36. 5 45. 44 0. 81 262. 06 22. 35 85. 7 17. 41 62. 73 73. 87 1988 475. 16 144. 06 58. 9 2. 35 42. 57 39. 0. 74 331. 1 28. 97 104. 89 27. 69 82. 68 86. 87 1989 525. 38 150. 78 61. 45 3. 14 42. 12 43. 21 0. 86 374. 6 32. 01 108. 97 38. 74 107. 55 87. 33 1990 620. 91 158. 86 66. 09 3. 42 35. 37 52. 37 1. 61 462. 05 37. 3 125. 76 55. 88 126. 86 116. 25 1991 718. 43 161. 45 72. 26 5. 29 34. 86 47. 54 1. 5 556. 98 38. 18 144. 56 71. 49 166. 2 136. 55 1992 849. 4 170. 04 83. 09 7. 2 31. 43 46. 93 1. 39 679. 36 43. 48 161. 35 132. 19 342. 34 NA 1993 917. 44 166. 66 83. 99 9. 01 30. 52 41. 09 2. 05 750. 78 46. 23 163. 92 152. 82 387. 81 NA 1994 1,210. 06 197. 08 100. 15 10. 02 41. 27 40. 69 4. 95 1,012. 98 62. 6 232. 18 218. 95 499. 37 0. 12 1995 1,487. 80 214. 85 99. 54 13. 7 43. 75 53. 32 4. 54 1,272. 95 90. 94 322. 4 314. 07 545. 48 0. 06 1996 1,510. 48 219. 25 102. 31 13. 42 40. 45 59. 31 3. 76 1,291. 23 88. 77 284. 98 353. 12 564. 24 0. 12 1997 1,827. 92 239. 53 110. 75 10. 49 41. 95 69. 87 6. 47 1,588. 39 102. 27 344. 32 437. 09 704. 67 0. 04 1998 1,837. 57 206 106. 19 9. 76 35. 17 51. 81 3. 07 1,631. 57 103. 16 323. 83 502. 33 702. 2 0. 05 1999 1,949. 31 199. 41 104. 58 7. 71 39. 21 46. 59 1. 32 1,749. 90 103. 73 332. 62 588. 36 725. 1 0. 09 2000 2,492. 03 254. 6 122. 82 7. 45 44. 62 78. 55 1. 6 2,237. 43 120. 98 425. 46 826 862. 78 2. 21 2001 2,661. 54 263. 53 127. 79 8. 74 41. 73 84. 16 1. 11 2,398. 01 133. 53 438. 23 949. 18 871. 23 5. 85 Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2001, China's Customs Statistics Monthly, December 2001 Note: Since 1992 and 1993, there has been a change in the classification system for for categories like â€Å"Others†. tem † Table 2b Composition of China's Import (US$100 million) Manufacture goods raw total food beveraes materials mineral oil total chemicals textile machinery miscel. others 1980 200. 17 69. 59 29. 27 0. 36 35. 5 4 2. 03 2. 39 130. 58 29. 09 41. 4 51. 19 5. 42 3. 34 1981 220. 15 80. 44 36. 22 2. 13 40. 27 0. 83 0. 99 139. 71 26. 06 40. 35 58. 66 5. 58 9. 06 1982 192. 85 76. 34 42. 01 1. 3 30. 12 1. 83 1. 08 116. 51 29. 36 39. 06 32. 04 4. 86 11. 19 1983 213. 9 58. 08 31. 22 0. 46 24. 59 1. 11 0. 7 155. 82 31. 83 62. 89 39. 88 7. 82 13. 4 1984 274. 1 52. 08 23. 31 1. 16 25. 42 1. 39 0. 8 222. 02 42. 37 73. 18 72. 45 11. 82 22. 2 1985 422. 52 52. 89 15. 53 2. 06 32. 36 1. 72 1. 22 369. 63 44. 69 118. 98 162. 39 19. 02 24. 55 1986 429. 04 56. 49 16. 25 1. 72 31. 43 5. 04 2. 05 372. 55 37. 71 111. 92 167. 81 18. 77 36. 34 1987 432. 16 69. 15 24. 3 2. 63 33. 21 5. 39 3. 49 363. 01 50. 08 97. 3 146. 07 18. 78 50. 78 1988 552. 75 100. 68 34. 76 3. 46 50. 9 7. 87 3. 69 452. 07 91. 39 104. 1 166. 97 19. 82 69. 79 1989 591. 4 117. 54 41. 92 2. 02 48. 35 16. 5 8. 75 473. 86 75. 56 123. 35 182. 07 20. 73 72. 15 1990 533. 45 98. 53 33. 35 1. 57 41. 07 12. 72 9. 82 434. 92 66. 48 89. 06 168. 45 21. 03 89. 9 1991 637. 91 108. 34 27. 99 2 50. 03 21. 13 7. 19 529. 57 92. 77 104. 93 196. 01 24. 39 111. 47 1992 805. 85 132. 55 31. 46 2. 39 57. 75 35. 7 5. 25 673. 3 111. 57 192. 73 313. 12 55. 88 NA 1993 1,039. 59 142. 1 22. 06 2. 45 54. 38 58. 19 5. 2 897. 49 97. 04 285. 27 450. 23 64. 95 NA 1994 1,156. 14 164. 86 31. 37 0. 68 74. 37 40. 35 18. 09 991. 28 121. 3 280. 84 514. 67 67. 68 6. 79 1995 1,320. 84 244. 17 61. 32 3. 94 101. 59 51. 27 26. 05 1,076. 67 172. 99 287. 72 526. 42 82. 61 6. 93 1996 1,388. 33 254. 41 56. 72 4. 97 106. 98 68. 77 16. 97 1,133. 92 181. 06 313. 91 547. 63 84. 86 6. 46 1997 1,423. 70 286. 2 43. 04 3. 2 120. 06 103. 06 16. 84 1,137. 50 192. 97 322. 2 527. 74 85. 5 9. 09 1998 1,401. 66 229. 52 37. 93 1. 79 107. 16 67. 73 14. 91 1,172. 14 201. 66 310. 71 567. 68 84. 55 7. 54 1999 1,656. 99 268. 46 36. 19 2. 08 127. 89. 12 13. 67 1,388. 53 240. 3 243. 17 694. 53 97. 01 13. 52 2000 2,250. 94 467. 39 47. 58 3. 64 200. 03 206. 37 9. 77 1,783. 55 302. 13 418. 07 919. 31 127. 51 16. 53 2001 2,436. 13 457. 74 49. 76 4. 12 221. 28 174. 95 7. 63 1,978. 40 321. 06 419. 39 1,070. 42 150. 76 16. 77 Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2001, China's Customs Statistics Monthly, December 2001. Note: Since 1992 and 1993, there has been a change in the classification system for categories like â€Å"Others†. Total Primary goods Table 3a Exports by Type of Enterprise and by Customs Regime (US$ billion) 1995 1996 1997 1998 Total 148. 151. 1 182. 7 183. 8 Process and Assembly 20. 7 24. 2 29. 4 30. 7 Process with Imported Materials 53 60. 1 70. 2 73. 7 Process and Assembly Total SOE FIE sub total Process with Imported Materials Total SOE FIE sub total 1995 20. 7 17. 3 2. 9 1995 53 13. 4 39. 2 1996 24. 2 19 4. 5 1996 60. 1 10. 9 48. 6 1997 29. 4 22. 3 6. 1 1997 70. 2 11. 7 57. 7 1998 30. 7 22. 5 7. 2 1998 73. 7 10. 9 62 1999 194. 9 35. 8 75. 1 1999 35. 8 24. 2 10. 4 1999 75. 1 9. 8 64. 2 2000 249. 2 41. 1 96. 5 2000 41. 1 26. 5 13. 1 2000 96. 5 10. 4 84. 1 2001 266. 2 42. 2 105. 2 2001 42. 2 26 14. 3 2001 105. 2 9. 9 92. Table 3b Imports by Type of Enterprise and by Customs Regime (US$ billion) Total 1995 1996 1997 1998 Process and Assembly 132. 1 138. 8 142. 4 140. 2 Process with Imported Materials 16. 2 17. 8 20. 9 19. 9 42. 1 44. 5 49. 3 48. 7 Process and Assembly Total SOE FIE sub total Process with Imported Materials Total SOE FIE sub total Source: China's Customs Statistics, various years. 1995 16. 2 13. 2 2. 7 1995 42. 1 7. 4 34. 4 1996 17. 8 13. 6 3. 7 1996 44. 5 6. 5 37. 8 1997 20. 9 15. 4 4. 9 1997 49. 3 6. 1 42. 9 1998 19. 9 14. 2 5 1998 48. 7 5. 1 43. 2 1999 165. 7 23. 6 50 1999 23. 6 15. 4 7. 1999 50 4. 3 45. 3 2000 225. 1 28 64. 6 2000 28 17. 4 9. 7 2000 64. 6 4. 8 58. 9 2001 243. 6 28. 9 65. 1 2001 28. 9 16. 9 10. 8 2001 65. 1 4. 3 59. 5 Table 4a China's Exports to Major World Regions (US$ billion) Export To Total Asia North Anerica Europe Latin America Oceania Africa 1993 91. 74 52. 62 18. 16 16. 43 1. 78 1. 23 1. 53 1 994 121 73. 45 22. 86 18. 77 2. 45 1. 72 1. 75 1995 148. 77 92 26. 24 22. 98 3. 15 1. 9 2. 49 1996 151. 07 91. 25 28. 3 23. 87 3. 12 1. 96 2. 57 1997 182. 7 108. 92 34. 6 28. 96 4. 61 2. 4 3. 21 1998 183. 71 98. 18 40. 1 33. 43 5. 32 2. 66 4. 06 1999 194. 93 102. 8 44. 39 35. 47 5. 27 3. 11 4. 11 2000 249. 21 132. 31 55. 28 45. 48 7. 19 3. 91 5. 04 2001 266. 15 140. 96 87. 88 49. 24 8. 24 4. 07 6. 01 Table 4b China's Imports from Major World Regions (US$ billion) Import From Total Asia North America Europe Latin America Oceania Africa 1993 103. 96 62. 6 12. 07 23. 97 1. 93 2. 36 1 1994 115. 62 68. 77 15. 74 25. 02 2. 25 2. 92 0. 89 1995 132. 08 78. 05 18. 8 27. 81 2. 97 3. 02 1. 43 1996 138. 84 83. 44 18. 73 27. 66 3. 61 3. 94 1. 46 1997 142. 36 88. 4 18. 31 25. 75 3. 77 3. 67 2. 46 1998 140. 24 87. 05 19. 2 26. 31 2. 99 3. 14 1. 48 1999 165. 72 101. 9 21. 82 32. 65 2. 99 4. 19 2. 38 2000 225. 1 141. 34 26. 12 40. 78 5. 41 5. 88 5. 56 2001 243. 61 147. 18 30. 24 48. 4 6. 7 6. 29 4. 79 Source: China's Customs Statistics, various years Table 5a Merchandise Exports to Major Trading Partners (US$ Billion) 1993 91. 74 22. 05 1. 46 15. 78 2. 86 16. 96 12. 24 3. 97 1. 29 1. 61 1. 3 1. 93 4. 68 2. 25 1994 121 32. 36 2. 24 21. 58 4. 38 21. 46 15. 39 4. 76 1. 42 2. 27 1. 59 2. 41 6. 38 2. 56 1995 148. 77 35. 98 3. 1 28. 46 6. 69 24. 71 19. 09 5. 67 1. 84 3. 23 2. 07 2. 79 9. 04 3. 5 1996 151. 07 32. 91 2. 8 30. 87 7. 51 26. 69 19. 83 5. 84 1. 91 3. 4 1. 84 3. 2 9. 7 3. 75 1997 182. 7 43. 78 3. 4 31. 82 9. 12 32. 69 23. 81 6. 49 2. 33 4. 4 2. 24 3. 81 12.

Zoonotic Diseases

Introduction Zoonotic diseases are infectious diseases which can be transmitted from animals to man. Due to frequent contact and domestication of wildlife animals, zoonotic diseases are increasingly becoming more prevalent. Public parks and gardens are home to abundant populations of birds. One of the most frequent species known to thrive in such areas are feral pigeon (Columba livia). Although there are few reports of disease transmission between pigeons and humans, their close interaction with humans and ability to carry zoonotic pathogens make them a public health risk.In fact, these birds are present at very high densities (2,000 individuals per km2) and can cover a maximum distance of 5. 29 km (Dickx et al. , 2010). This may result in the increase risk of pathogen transmission among other birds and potentially to humans. Studies have shown that most infected pigeons do not show signs of clinical disease. These birds may therefore pose a public health risk to the human population . Pigeons, like many other bird species, can harbor diseases that can be zoonotic in nature. One of the pathogens most frequently carried by pigeons is Chlamydophila psittaci. C. sittaci is an obligate intracellular bacterium that causes a disease in birds known as Psittacosis or Avian Chlamydiosis. Psittacosis is highly contagious and often causes influenza-like symptoms, severe pneumonia and non-respiratory health problems. Birds can shed this bacterium in the environment when they are either overtly ill or without any symptoms. C. psittaci occurs most frequently in psittacine birds such as parrots, macaws, parakeets. However, non-psittacine birds including pigeons, doves and mynah birds can also harbour the infectious agent (Greco, Corrente, & Martella, 2005).Therefore, pigeons are thought to be an underestimated source of human chlamydiosis. Studies have shown that pigeons pose a substantial zoonotic risk as are often shown to be naturally infected with a number of viruses, bacteria, fungi and protozoa that are pathogenic to humans. The potential for zoonotic infection is increased as these birds live in close contact with human beings. The aim of this overview is to present the zoonotic potential of C. psittaci in infected feral pigeon populations, in the context of its history, epidemiology and current approaches in treatment and prevention.Pigeon population in urban areas Commonly known as ‘urban’, ‘street’ or ‘city’ pigeons, the feral rock dove (C. livia) is an abundant bird species that often thrive in streets, squares and parks where they come into close contact with humans. Pigeon populations in most large cities increased worldwide after World War II. They have made contributions of considerable importance to humanity, especially in times of war. Feral pigeons have been domesticated and were put to use by making them messengers due to their homing abilities (Dickx et al. , 2010).Pigeons are one of the few animal species able to survive in our noisy and hectic cities. They are extremely adaptable, which also enables them to accept breeding places that are unnatural to them, e. g. on trees or over running ventilation systems (Magnino et al, 2009). They are also a valuable enrichment to the urban environment as they have a cleaning up function by eating discarded food. In addition, they may represent as a tourist attraction as feeding and care of feral pigeons may be rewarding spare-time activities for many people who enjoy the company of animals (Magnino et al, 2009).The extensive food supply and minimal predator population has indeed provided the ecological basis for the large populations that occur in most cities of the world. Chlamydophila psittaci in pigeons The increase of feral pigeon populations in many cities is a major cause of concern as they are a source of a large number of zoonotic agents. The most important pathogenic organism transmissible from feral pigeons to humans is Chlamydophila psittaci. In fact, studies in Europe have shown as high as 95. 6% seropositivity values for C. psittaci in feral pigeon populations (Magnino et al. 2009). C. psittaci an obligate intracellular bacterium causes avian chlamydiosis in birds and psittacosis in humans.The bacterium is commonly recognised in psittacine birds such as parrots, macaws, cockatoos and parakeets. It is also indentified in non-psittacine birds such as pigeons, doves and mynah birds (Greco, Corrente, & Martella, 2005). There are at least six distinct serovars (A to F) of C. psittaci considered endemic in birds (Seth-Smith et al. , 2011). Each serovar appears to be associated, though not exclusively, with a different group or order of irds, from which it is most commonly isolated. Genotype B is the most prevalent in pigeons, but the more virulent genotypes A and D have also been discovered (Seth-Smith et al. , 2011). All serovars should be considered to be readily transmissible to humans. The av ian strains can infect humans and other mammals, and may cause severe disease and even death. In contrast to the devastating explosive outbreaks in the first half of the 20th century, the present outbreaks are characterized by respiratory signs and low mortality (Harkinezhad, Geens & Vanrompay, 2009).Chlamydophila psittaci has been demonstrated in about 465 bird species comprising 30 different bird orders (Greco, Corrente, & Martella, 2005). The highest infection rates are found in psittacine birds and pigeons. The first case of C. psittaci zoonotic transmission from pigeons was described in 1941. A mother and her daughter had picked up a sick feral pigeon in the street in New York City. The pigeon died after four days and, two weeks later, both mother and daughter developed psittacosis with fever and pneumonia (Dickx et al. , 2010).Since then, 47 zoonotic cases linked to pigeons have been reported (Dickx et al. , 2010). As a consequence, feral pigeon populations have been r epeatedly blamed as vectors for the transmission of C. psittaci infections to humans. Caution is needed, as zoonotic transmission from feral pigeons is known to be an underestimated source of infection. Psittacosis in birds Transmission of C. psittaci primarily occurs from one infected bird to another susceptible bird in close proximity. The agent is usually excreted in faeces and nasal discharges.From time to time, faecal shedding occurs and can be activated through stress caused by nutritional deficiencies, prolonged transport, overcrowding, chilling, breeding, egg laying, treatment or handling (Vanrompay et al. , 2007). Bacterial excretion periods during natural infection can vary depending on virulence of the strain, infection dose and host immune status. The most common routes of transmission of C. psittaci in nature are the inhalation and ingestion of contaminated material and, sometimes, ingestion (Vanrompay et al. , 2007). The bacterium can be also transmitted in the nest.In many species, such as columbiformes, transmission from parent to young may occur through feeding, by regurgitation, while the contamination of the nesting site with infective faeces are also important sources of infection (Vazquez et al. , 2010). Also the transmission of C. psittaci may also be facilitated by arthropod vectors in the nest environment, but its occurrence has not been assessed in the wild. Vertical transmission has been demonstrated in other types of avian species. However, occurrence appears to be fairly low. Chlamydiosis is a common chronic infection of pigeons.C. psittaci infection may result in lethargy, anorexia, ruffled feathers, ocular and nasal discharge, conjunctivitis, diarrhea and excretion of green to yellow urates (West, 2011). Most infected feral pigeons are asymptomatic and latent carriers of C. psittaci, which makes it difficult to assess the risk of transmission of the bacterium to other animals, including humans. As mentioned earlier, increased shed ding of the infectious agents may be triggered by stress factors such as other concurrent infections or infestations, lack of food, breeding and overcrowding.It is important to note that as the density of nesting and roosting pigeons increases, the quality of life in the feral pigeon population deteriorates (Dickx et al. , 2010). In fact, excessive population density activates and stimulates regulation mechanisms that decimate nestlings and juvenile pigeons with infectious and parasitic diseases (Hedemma et al. , 2006). Crowded breeding places make pigeons behave more aggressively, which again mostly affects nestlings and juveniles that are the weakest members of the population, leading to a progressive spoiling of their physical condition.Thus, it is important for feral pigeon populations to be managed carefully in the urban environment to obtain an appropriate- sized and healthy population. Psittacosis in humans Although psittacine birds are the major source of human infection, ou tbreaks due to exposure to non-psittacine birds may also occur. The more common of these are due to exposure to pigeons, both wild and domestic. Humans most often become infected by inhaling the organism when urine, respiratory secretions or dried faeces of infected birds are dispersed in the air as very fine droplets or dust particles (Smith et al. , 2011).Other sources of exposure include mouth-to-beak contact, a bite from an infected bird or handling the plumage and tissues of infected birds (Smith et al. , 2011). A study by Smith et al. (2011) suggests that more than half of the human cases were due to exposure to C. psittaci through contaminated dust, direct contact with pigeons through feeding and handling pigeons. In addition, about 40 of the cases resulted from transient contacts with feral pigeons such as eating lunch in a park frequented by pigeons, walking through a pigeon flock, and living in a neighbourhood frequented by pigeons (Vazquez et al. 2010). The disease in hum ans varies from a flu-like syndrome to a severe systemic disease with pneumonia and possibly encephalitis. The disease is rarely fatal in patients treated promptly and correctly. The incubation period is usually 5–14 days, but longer incubation periods are known (Smith et al. , 2011). Common symptoms of infection in humans include headache, chills, malaise and myalgia, with or without signs of respiratory involvement (Smith et al. , 2011). Therefore, awareness of the danger and early diagnosis are important. Transmission of psittacosis from human to human is rare but can occur.Transmission from humans to birds has not been documented. Diagnoses The diagnosis of C. psittaci infections in birds can be a problem because of the occurrence of persistent infections in non-shedding clinically healthy birds. Isolation of C. psittaci is currently regarded as the standard method for the determination of active infections of birds. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) techniques have been al so used to detect C. psittaci in samples of tissues, feces and respiratory specimens, and were found to be quite sensitive and rapid. Diagnoses can also be established by clinical presentation and positive antibodies against C. sittaci using microimmunoflourescence (MIF) methods (Seth-Smith et al. , 2011). Conventional ELISA tests have been developed for detecting antibodies to C. psittaci in birds, however, it tends to sensitivity and specificity. Treatment No commercial vaccine is available for avian chlamydiosis. Antibiotic treatment of birds is the usual response to known infections. Tetracyclines are usually considered the drugs of choice although quinolones or macrolides have also been used (Tully, 2001). Chlortetracycline (CTC) is given on food depending on the bird species to be treated and type of food (Tully, 2001).Another drug that has also proved to be effective is doxycycline, which has been used for injecting and to treat bird food/ drinking water. Tetracycline antibio tics are the drug of choice for C. psittaci infection in humans. Mild to moderate cases can be treated with oral doxycycline or tetracycline hydrochloride (West, 2011). Severely ill patients should be treated with intravenous (IV) doxycycline hyclate. Treatment with antimicrobial drugs in humans usually lasts for 3 weeks while birds are treated for 45 days. Most C. psittaci infections are responsive to antibiotics within 1 to 2 days, however relapses can occur (Seth-Smith et al. 2011). Therefore sensible use of these drugs is very important, to prevent the development of drug-resistant bacterial strains Prevention Management of feral pigeon populations in the urban environment is a complex issue that requires careful planning. Education initiatives to communicate the health risks and recommendations for minimizing these risks should primarily be directed at susceptible groups such as the elderly, young children, immunosupressed individuals, homeless, and occupationally exposed group s (Harkinezhad, Geens & Vanrompay, 2009).Children should be warned not to handle sick or dead pigeons and immunocompromised individuals should be educated to carefully limit their contact with feral pigeons. Strict hygienic procedures should also be enforced when dealing with birds. Pigeon feeders should be encouraged to stop or limit their activity by implementing a feeding ban in defined urban areas (Harkinezhad, Geens & Vanrompay, 2009). Furthermore, preservation of urban hygiene is very important and should be included in the aims of administrators and health officials, as it will lead to a reduced and healthier feral pigeon population (Vazquez et al. , 2010).The relationship between feeding, overcrowding, and the deterioration of living conditions of pigeons, should be the main focus when educating the general public. Monitoring for C. psittaci infections over time, by direct detection of the organism and/or by specific antibody testing, should also be considered in tho se who are in frequent close contact with bird puplations (ie. occupationally exposed workers) (Smith et al. , 2011). In addition, preventive measures such as wearing protective clothes with hoods, boots, gloves and air filter face masks should be worn when removing pigeon faeces from roofs, attics and/or buildings.Finally, for the sake of animal protection, visibly sick birds should be captured and taken into veterinary care where they should be appropriately treated with effective drugs such as tetracyclines, quinolones or macrolides (Seth-Smith et al. , 2011). . Conclusion Feral pigeons, more commonly known as ‘urban’ or ‘city’ pigeons, are present in both urban and rural areas all over the world. Due to frequent and close contact with people, pigeons are a public health concern as they are a source of many zoonotic agents.In particular Chlamydophila psittaci, a bacterium known to cause psittacosis in both birds and humans (Harkinezhad, Geens & Vanro mpay, 2009). Due to the growing population of pigeons, contact with infected pigeons or pathogen transmission is greatly increased. The infectious agent can be easily transmitted to humans through inhalation of contaminated dust and aerosols from infected pigeons or their feces. Once infected, people suffer from various conditions including mild influenza-like symptoms or severe pneumonia.In addition, the huge increase of feral pigeon populations in many cities is a major cause of concern due to the detrimental effect of pigeon droppings on environmental hygiene. Therefore it is important to monitor the health of both city bird populations and humans who come in close contact with possibly infected birds. As well, awareness and preventative measures must be taken into consideration when handling infected birds or their feces. Furthermore, management of feral population and preservation of urban hygiene is very important in controlling psittacosis. Work Cited Aundria West.A brief rev iew of Chlamydophila psittaci in birds and humans. Journal of Exotic Pet Medicine. 2011. 20:18–2. Dickx V, Beeckman D, Dossche L, Tavernier P, Vanrompay D. Chlamydophila psittaci in homing and feral pigeons and zoonotic transmission. Journal of Medical Microbiology. 2010. 59: 1348–1353. Greco G, Corrente M, Martella V. Detection of Chlamydophila psittaci in Asymptomatic Animals. Journal of Clinical Microbiology. 2005. 43: 5410-5411. Harkinezhad T, Geens T, Vanrompay D. Chlamydophila psittaci infections in birds: A review with emphasis on zoonotic consequences.Veterinary Microbiology. 2009. 135: 68–77. Heddema E, Sluis S, Buys J, Vandenbroucke-Grauls C, Van Wijnen J, Visser C. Prevalence of Chlamydophila psittaci in fecal droppings from feral pigeons in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Applied and Environmental Microbiology. 2006. 34: 4423–4425. Magnino S, Haag-Wackernagel D, Geigenfeind I, Helmecke S, Dovc A, Prukner-Radovc E, Residbegovic E, Ilieski V, Larouc au K, Donati M, Martinov S, Kaleta E. Chlamydial infections in feral pigeons in Europe: Review of data and focus on public health implications. Veterinary Microbiology. 009. 135: 54–67. Seth-Smith H, Harris S, Rance R, West A, Severin J, Ossewaarde J, Cutcliffe L, Skilton R, Marsh P, Parkhill J, Clarke I, Thomson N. Genome sequence of the zoonotic pathogen Chlamydophila psittaci. Journal of Bacteriology. 2011. 28: 1282–1283. Smith K, Campbell C, Murphy J, Stobierski M, Tengelsen L. Compendium of measures to control Chlamydophila psittaci infection among humans (Psittacosis) and pet birds (Avian Chlamydiosis), 2010 National Association of State Public Health Veterinarians (NASPHV). Journal of Exotic Pet Medicine. 011. 20: 32–45. Tully T. Update on Chlamydophila psittaci. Seminars in Avian and Exotic Pet Medicine, 2001. 10: 20-24. Vanrompay D, Harkinezhad T, Van de Walle M, Beeckman D, Droogenbroeck C, Verminnen K, An Martel R, Cauwerts K. Chlamydophila psittaci t ransmission from pet birds to humans. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2007. 13: 1108-1110. Vazquez B, Esperon F, Neves E, Lopez J, Ballesteros C, Munoz M. Screening for several potential pathogens in feral pigeons (Columba livia) in Madrid. Acta Veterinaria Scandinavica 2010, 52:45-51.

Steven Crane essays

Steven Crane essays Stephen was one of the many great literature authors. He wrote many great stories and got well known for them. Crane went through many events and struggles in his: early years, Born in Newark, New Jersey, on November 1, 1871, Stephen Crane was his parents' fourteenth and last child . His father, Dr. Jonathan Townley Crane, was a Methodist minister, as were his maternal grandfather and other relatives on both sides of his family. Dr. Crane's successive ecclesiastical appointments led the family to move in 1876 to Paterson, New Jersey, and in 1878 to Port Jervis, Crane attended the Hudson River Institute in Claverack, New York, Crane later maintained that he wrote his first major work of fiction, Maggie: A Girl of the Streets, in two days just before Christmas of 1891. Also in early 1893, Crane wrote a first version of what would become The Red Badge of Courage. This novel, his masterpiece, was published in 1895 in both the United States, where it became a bestseller, and England, where it also attracted a great deal of positive notice. In 1895 appeared The Black Riders, the first of Crane's two collections of free verse. In the last year or so of his life, Crane suffered from increasingly virulent attacks of tuberculosis, aggravated by a punishing work schedule. Stephen was then brought to a health spa at Badenweiler, Germany, where he died on June 5, 1900, at the age of twenty-eight. Stephen Crane made permanent contributions not only to the body of American literature but also to its very shape and direction. Stephen Crane wrote many great short stories and got well known for them. He also had many hard times and he had his good times. Crane is now gone but his stories will never be ...

Introduction to the Human Genome Project

Introduction to the Human Genome Project The set of nucleic acid sequences or genes that form the DNA of an organism is its genome. Essentially, a genome is a molecular blueprint for constructing an organism. The human genome is the genetic code in the DNA of the 23 chromosome pairs of Homo sapiens, plus the DNA found within human mitochondria. Egg and sperm cells contain 23 chromosomes (haploid genome) consisting of around three billion DNA base pairs. Somatic cells (e.g., brain, liver, heart) have 23 chromosome pairs (diploid genome) and around six billion base pairs. About 0.1 percent of the base pairs differ from one person to the next. The human genome is about 96 percent similar to that of a chimpanzee, the species that is the nearest genetic relative. The international scientific research community sought to construct a map of the sequence of the nucleotide base pairs that make up human DNA. The United States government started planning the Human Genome Project or HGP in 1984 with a goal to sequence the three billion nucleotides of the haploid genome. A small number of anonymous volunteers  supplied the DNA for the project, so the completed human genome was a mosaic of human DNA and not the genetic sequence of any one person. Human Genome Project History and Timeline While the planning stage started into 1984, the HGP didnt officially launch until 1990. At the time, scientists estimated it would take 15 years to complete the map, but advances in technology led to completion in April of 2003 rather than in 2005. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) provided most of the $3 billion in public funding ($2.7 billion total, due to early completion). Geneticists from all over the world were invited to participate in the Project. In addition to the United States, the international consortium included institutes and universities from the United Kingdom, France, Australia, China, and Germany. Scientists from many other countries also participated. How Gene Sequencing Works To make a map of the human genome, scientists needed to determine the order of the base pair on the DNA of all 23 chromosomes (really, 24, if you consider the sex chromosomes X and Y are different). Each chromosome contained from 50 million to 300 million base pairs, but because the base pairs on a DNA double helix are complementary (i.e., adenine pairs with thymine and guanine pairs with cytosine), knowing the composition of one strand of the DNA helix automatically provided information about the complementary strand. In other words, the nature of the molecule simplified the task. While multiple methods were used to determine the code, the main technique employed BAC. BAC stands for bacterial artificial chromosome. To use BAC, human DNA was broken into fragments between 150,000 and 200,000 base pairs in length. The fragments were inserted into bacterial DNA so that when the bacteria reproduced, the human DNA also replicated. This cloning process provided enough DNA to make samples for sequencing. To cover the 3 billion base pairs of the human genome, about 20,000 different BAC clones were made. The BAC clones made what is called a BAC library that contained all the genetic information for a human, but it was like a library in chaos, with no way to tell the order of the books. To fix this, each BAC clone was mapped back to human DNA to find its position in relation to other clones. Next, the BAC clones were cut into smaller fragments about 20,000 base pairs in length for sequencing. These subclones were loaded into a machine called a sequencer. The sequencer prepared 500 to 800 base pairs, which a computer assembled into the correct order to match the BAC clone. As the base pairs were determined, they were made available to the public  online and free to access. Eventually all the pieces of the puzzle were complete and arranged to form a complete genome. Goals of the Human Genome Project The primary goal of the Human Genome Project was to sequence the 3 billion base pairs that make up human DNA. From the sequence, the 20,000 to 25,000 estimated human genes could be identified. However, the genomes of other scientifically significant species were also sequenced as part of the Project, including the genomes of the fruit fly, mouse, yeast, and roundworm. The Project developed new tools and technology for genetic manipulation and sequencing. Public access to the genome assured the entire planet could access the information to spur new discoveries. Why the Human Genome Project Was Important The Human Genome Project formed the first blueprint for a person and  remains the largest collaborative biology project that humanity ever completed. Because the Project sequenced genomes of multiple organisms, scientist could compare them to uncover the functions of genes and to identify which genes are necessary for life. Scientists took the information and techniques from the Project and used them to identify disease genes, devise tests for genetic diseases, and repair damaged genes to prevent problems before they occur. The information is used to predict how a patient will respond to a treatment based on a genetic profile. While the first map took years to complete, advances have led to faster sequencing, allowing scientists to study genetic variation in populations and more quickly determine what specific genes do. The Project also included the development of an Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications (ELSI) program. ELSI became the largest bioethics program in the world and serves as a model for programs that deal with new technologies.

Export strategy Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2500 words

Export strategy - Essay Example However, Jasmine rice has no immediate substitutes and it would not be possible also to create any substitute for it in foreseeable future. But that does not automatically guarantee success as there must be in place proper and rational product strategy, business process strategy, operations strategy and financial strategy to augment the unique selling point of Jasmine rice. This paper deals at length on these strategies and how they should be formulated such that success is assured. Further, this paper also tends to look into the future and try to forecast whether United Kingdom would still remain as attractive an export market it is now a decade later. After making a substantive analysis of British economy the paper concludes that though other varieties of rice produced by Siam Rice Co. might face strong competition from indigenous substitutes, Jasmine rice would still retain it unassailable position in British markets. Export Strategy Export is not the same as selling in a domestic market as it involves not only foreign currency but negotiating a foreign market, foreign tastes and preferences, foreign customs and of course foreign rules and regulations. Thus, export can only be successful if a proper export strategy is in place and is executed efficiently. It should begin with the chances of success a product might have in an export market. The thumb rule for gauging the possibilities of success is whether the product is successful in the domestic market. If a product is successful in domestic market then there is fair chance that it would be a success in foreign markets too. But care must be taken to factor in the customs, tastes and preferences prevalent in foreign markets before blindly assuming that domestic success is failsafe proof of the product being successful in foreign markets also. As for example beef from Chicago is famous for its taste across the world but if a beef exporter feels that they would be able to storm the non-vegetarian markets in In dia they would be in for a rude shock as beef is a taboo for Hindus who form nearly eighty five percent of Indian population. Similarly while pork is an all time favorite in China it does not have any market in Muslim countries where it is a forbidden food. So, an exporter needs to do elaborate market research for accurately gauging the market potential for the product they would like to export (Credit Research Foundation 2007). But before the decision to export is to be made the company must determine in no uncertain terms what it stands to gain from exporting and whether it has sufficient resources at its command to undertake the additional production quantities that would have to be done in order to service both domestic and export markets. The other issue that needs to be clarified is whether the costs related to export are less than the benefits that the company expects to garner from export activity. Only if all these three issues provide a positive answer should a company und ertake exporting activities. Else, it would be better off transacting in domestic markets only (World Export Development Forum 2007). Product Strategy As already discussed, the first test of whether a product can be exported is whether it has a stable market within the country. But, as already been